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Ligue 1

Referee: F Schneider

Toulouse

T T S T S

1–0

Full-time

Nimes

S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Nimes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/2 matches

Win Ø 67%

33%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

4,0

5,5

Scored

1,5

3,5

Conceded

2,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

1,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

3,5

5,5

Scored

1,0

3,5

Conceded

2,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

10 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 0

1 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 21

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 13. · Nimes 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Nimes	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Lyon	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Dijon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Reims	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Monaco	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Lille	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	St Etienne	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Marseille	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Montpellier	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Rennes	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Toulouse	2	1	0	1	-3	3
14	Nice	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Caen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Guingamp	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Amiens	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Bordeaux	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Angers	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Nantes	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Lyon	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Nimes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Dijon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Reims	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Caen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Monaco	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Guingamp	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Nimes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Dijon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Montpellier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Reims	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Strasbourg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Nice	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Lille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Bordeaux	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Guingamp	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Rennes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Nantes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Angers	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Caen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Toulouse	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.