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Ligue 1

Referee: C Turpin

Lyon

U U U S S

2–1

Full-time

Paris SG

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Paris SG

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

4,0

Scored

1,7

3,3

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+2,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 22/20 matches

Win Ø 70%

50%

90%

Points per game

1,8

2,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

45%

80%

Both score Ø 48%

50%

45%

Average goals

2,8

3,9

Scored

1,6

3,3

Conceded

1,1

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+2,8

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%

14 Shots 16

10 Shots on target 9

1 Blocked shots 4

7 Goalkeeper saves 8

6 Corners 8

2 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lyon 3. · Paris SG 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	20	18	2	0	+55	56
2	Lille	23	14	4	5	+18	46
3	Lyon	22	11	7	4	+11	40
4	St Etienne	22	10	7	5	+7	37
5	Montpellier	22	9	9	4	+12	36
6	Strasbourg	22	9	8	5	+13	35
7	Reims	23	8	10	5	-1	34
8	Nice	23	9	7	7	-5	34
9	Rennes	23	9	6	8	+0	33
10	Marseille	22	9	4	9	+2	31
11	Nimes	23	8	6	9	-2	30
12	Bordeaux	21	7	7	7	+0	28
13	Angers	23	6	9	8	-3	27
14	Toulouse	23	6	8	9	-11	26
15	Nantes	22	6	6	10	-2	24
16	Dijon	22	5	5	12	-15	20
17	Caen	22	3	9	10	-11	18
18	Monaco	23	4	6	13	-18	18
19	Amiens	23	5	3	15	-20	18
20	Guingamp	22	3	5	14	-30	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	11	11	0	0	+37	33
2	Lille	12	8	3	1	+16	27
3	St Etienne	11	8	2	1	+13	26
4	Lyon	11	6	3	2	+9	21
5	Reims	12	5	5	2	+3	20
6	Montpellier	11	5	4	2	+9	19
7	Strasbourg	11	5	4	2	+7	19
8	Bordeaux	11	5	4	2	+4	19
9	Marseille	10	5	3	2	+10	18
10	Rennes	11	5	3	3	+3	18
11	Nice	11	5	2	4	-2	17
12	Nantes	11	4	4	3	+8	16
13	Nimes	12	4	4	4	+3	16
14	Angers	12	4	4	4	+0	16
15	Toulouse	11	2	5	4	-4	11
16	Dijon	10	3	2	5	-7	11
17	Caen	11	2	4	5	-4	10
18	Amiens	11	3	1	7	-6	10
19	Monaco	12	1	4	7	-13	7
20	Guingamp	11	1	3	7	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	7	2	0	+18	23
2	Lyon	11	5	4	2	+2	19
3	Lille	11	6	1	4	+2	19
4	Montpellier	11	4	5	2	+3	17
5	Nice	12	4	5	3	-3	17
6	Strasbourg	11	4	4	3	+6	16
7	Rennes	12	4	3	5	-3	15
8	Toulouse	12	4	3	5	-7	15
9	Reims	11	3	5	3	-4	14
10	Nimes	11	4	2	5	-5	14
11	Marseille	12	4	1	7	-8	13
12	Angers	11	2	5	4	-3	11
13	Monaco	11	3	2	6	-5	11
14	St Etienne	11	2	5	4	-6	11
15	Bordeaux	10	2	3	5	-4	9
16	Dijon	12	2	3	7	-8	9
17	Caen	11	1	5	5	-7	8
18	Nantes	11	2	2	7	-10	8
19	Amiens	12	2	2	8	-14	8
20	Guingamp	11	2	2	7	-21	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.