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Pro League
Referee: Nathan Verboomen
St Truiden
T U U T S
4–1
Full-time
Eupen
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,3
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 39%
39%
39%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
52%
61%
Both score Ø 61%
70%
52%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,6
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 9
1 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Truiden 3. · Eupen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 17 11 4 2 +21 37
2 Antwerp 16 12 1 3 +13 37
3 St Truiden 23 9 9 5 +8 36
4 Charleroi 24 10 4 10 +1 34
5 Gent 15 10 2 3 +16 32
6 Standard 16 9 5 2 +15 32
7 Kortrijk 24 8 7 9 -3 31
8 Club Brugge 16 9 3 4 +16 30
9 Anderlecht 16 9 3 4 +11 30
10 Eupen 23 9 1 13 -14 28
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 24 7 5 12 -6 26
12 Waregem 24 7 5 12 -10 26
13 Cercle Brugge 24 7 5 12 -17 26
14 Oostende 24 6 5 13 -20 23
15 Beveren 24 4 10 10 -8 22
16 Lokeren 24 3 5 16 -23 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Truiden Eupen
Jorge Teixeira 🟨
4′
9′
Yuta Toyokawa 0–1
1–1 Daichi Kamada
19′
2–1 Yohan Boli
Alexis De Sart
36′
Half-time 2–1
49′
🟨 Sulayman Marreh
63′
🟨 Yuta Toyokawa
Pol García 🟨
64′
69′
🔁 Remi Mulumba
↦ Luis Garcia
76′
🟨 Remi Mulumba
3–1 Yohan Boli
Elton Acolatse
80′
81′
🔁 Youssef Msakni
↦ Cheick Keita
84′
🔁 Samuel Essende
↦ Megan Laurent
Mamadou Sylla 🔁
↦ Daichi Kamada
88′
4–1 Alexis De Sart
90′
Wolke Janssens 🔁
↦ Yohan Boli
90′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

St Truiden

4-2-3-1
1 Kenny Steppe G
7 Jordan Botaka F
8 Ibrahima Sory Sankhon M
26 Jorge Teixeira D
4 Pol García D
6 Steven De Petter M
12 Samuel Asamoah M
15 Daichi Kamada M
5 Alexis De Sart M
29 Elton Acolatse F
11 Yohan Boli F
Bench (8)
21 Lucas Pirard
20 Samy Mmaee
19 Christian Ceballos
14 Alexandre De Bruyn
28 Takahiro Sekine
24 Mamadou Sylla
22 Wolke Janssens
18 Kosuke Kinoshita

Eupen

4-2-3-1
1 Hendrik Van Crombrugge G
3 Cheick Keita D
25 Rocky Bushiri Kiranga D
22 Siebe Blondelle D
24 Silas Gnaka D
15 Sulayman Marreh M
10 Luis Garcia F
70 Mamadou Fall F
11 Megan Laurent M
14 Alessio Castro-Montes M
20 Yuta Toyokawa F
Bench (7)
30 Babacar Niasse Mbaye
44 Xavier Molina
18 Nils Schouterden
6 Remi Mulumba
9 David Pollet
17 Youssef Msakni
23 Samuel Essende

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Nathan Verboomen · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.