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Ligue 1
Referee: A Delerue
Paris SG
S U U S S
9–0
Full-time
Guingamp
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Guingamp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 18/20 matches
Win Ø 52%
89%
15%
Points per game
2,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
78%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
55%
Average goals
3,5
2,6
Scored
2,9
0,8
Conceded
0,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
+2,4
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

67% Possession 33%
26 Shots 2
12 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Guingamp 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 18 16 2 0 +43 50
2 Lille 21 12 4 5 +13 40
3 St Etienne 20 10 6 4 +8 36
4 Lyon 20 9 7 4 +9 34
5 Montpellier 19 8 7 4 +10 31
6 Nice 20 8 6 6 -3 30
7 Strasbourg 20 7 8 5 +8 29
8 Rennes 20 8 5 7 +2 29
9 Marseille 19 8 4 7 +3 28
10 Reims 20 6 9 5 -3 27
11 Nimes 19 7 5 7 -1 26
12 Bordeaux 19 6 7 6 +0 25
13 Nantes 20 6 5 9 -1 23
14 Toulouse 20 5 7 8 -11 22
15 Angers 19 4 8 7 -3 20
16 Caen 20 3 9 8 -8 18
17 Amiens 21 5 3 13 -18 18
18 Dijon 19 4 5 10 -15 17
19 Monaco 20 3 6 11 -13 15
20 Guingamp 20 3 5 12 -20 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris SG Guingamp
1–0 Neymar
Dani Alves
11′
J. Draxler 🔁
↦ M. Verratti
19′
2–0 K. Mbappé
Neymar
37′
3–0 K. Mbappé
E. Cavani
45′
Half-time 3–0
56′
🔁 L. Blas
↦ L. Deaux
57′
🔁 R. Rodelin
↦ A. Mendy
4–0 E. Cavani
Juan Bernat
59′
5–0 E. Cavani
Á. Di María
66′
L. Kurzawa 🔁
↦ Juan Bernat
67′
6–0 Neymar
K. Mbappé
68′
73′
🔁 P. Djilobodji
↦ Y. NGbakoto
7–0 E. Cavani
75′
T. Meunier 🔁
↦ Thiago Silva
76′
8–0 K. Mbappé
E. Cavani
80′
9–0 T. Meunier
83′
Layvin Kurzawa 🟨
89′
Full-time 9–0

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-2-2-2
1 G. Buffon G
13 Dani Alves D
2 Thiago Silva D
5 Marquinhos D
14 Juan Bernat D
4 T. Kehrer D
11 Á. Di María F
6 M. Verratti M
9 E. Cavani F
10 Neymar F
7 K. Mbappé F
Bench (7)
23 J. Draxler
20 L. Kurzawa
12 T. Meunier
16 A. Areola
17 E. Choupo-Moting
24 C. Nkunku
27 M. Diaby

Coach: T. Tuchel

Guingamp

4-1-4-1
16 M. Caillard G
29 C. Kerbrat D
2 J. Ikoko D
5 Pedro Rebocho D
20 F. Eboa Eboa D
22 É. Didot M
8 L. Deaux M
12 Y. N'Gbakoto M
6 L. Phiri M
9 A. Mendy F
11 M. Thuram F
Bench (7)
7 L. Blas
23 R. Rodelin
3 P. Djilobodji
13 J. Larsson
1 K. Johnsson
15 J. Sorbon
26 N. Roux

Coach: Vincent Rautureau

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Delerue · 60 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.