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Eredivisie
Referee: Bernie Raymond Blom
PSV Eindhoven
S S S U S
5–0
Full-time
For Sittard
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven For Sittard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,0
3,0
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
-1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 61%
89%
32%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 82%
89%
74%
Both score Ø 58%
47%
68%
Average goals
3,9
3,6
Scored
3,4
1,7
Conceded
0,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
+2,8
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

56% Possession 44%
20 Shots 7
11 Shots on target 0
4 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 1. · For Sittard 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 19 17 1 1 +53 52
2 Ajax 20 16 2 2 +54 50
3 Feyenoord 20 12 3 5 +16 39
4 AZ Alkmaar 20 10 4 6 +14 34
5 Heracles 18 8 2 8 -5 26
6 VVV Venlo 20 7 5 8 -8 26
7 Utrecht 17 7 4 6 +2 25
8 Willem II 20 7 4 9 -6 25
9 Vitesse 18 6 6 6 +1 24
10 For Sittard 19 6 5 8 -4 23
11 Heerenveen 20 5 7 8 -5 22
12 Excelsior 20 6 4 10 -20 22
13 Groningen 19 6 3 10 -3 21
14 Zwolle 19 6 3 10 -9 21
15 Den Haag 19 5 6 8 -13 21
16 FC Emmen 20 5 6 9 -21 21
17 De Graafschap 20 5 3 12 -24 18
18 NAC Breda 20 4 4 12 -22 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven For Sittard
1–0 G. Pereiro
8′
Donyell Malen 🟨
12′
25′
🟨 Clint Essers
32′
🟨 Clint Essers
32′
🟥 Clint Essers
35′
🔁 A. Ciranni
↦ A. Balić
37′
🟨 Mica Pinto
Angeliño 🟨
40′
Half-time 1–0
C. Gakpo 🔁
↦ D. Malen
46′
52′
🔁 M. Dembele
↦ K. Heerings
2–0 L. de Jong
C. Gakpo
54′
3–0 C. Gakpo
S. Bergwijn
56′
M. Ihattaren 🔁
↦ S. Bergwijn
66′
75′
🟨 Ahmed El Messaoudi
4–0 L. de Jong
Angeliño
76′
É. Gutiérrez 🔁
↦ P. Rosario
80′
81′
🔁 R. Ramírez
↦ A. Novakovich
5–0 L. de Jong
G. Pereiro
87′
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
5 D. Schwaab D
4 N. Viergever D
6 Angeliño D
22 D. Dumfries D
8 J. Hendrix M
7 G. Pereiro M
18 P. Rosario M
9 L. de Jong F
17 S. Bergwijn F
14 D. Malen F
Bench (11)
19 C. Gakpo
52 M. Ihattaren
25 É. Gutiérrez
23 B. Ramselaar
32 M. Sadílek
16 D. Rigo
41 M. van de Meulenhof
34 J. Piroe
13 E. Room
33 J. Teze
15 A. Obispo

Coach: M. van Bommel

For Sittard

4-3-3
1 A. Koşelev G
15 K. Heerings D
5 Mica Pinto D
4 C. Essers D
11 L. Hutten M
8 José Rodríguez M
10 M. Diemers M
18 A. El Messaoudi M
3 A. Balić M
6 J. Smeets M
19 A. Novakovich F
Bench (9)
2 A. Ciranni
12 M. Dembele
14 R. Ramírez
16 F. Stokkers
7 A. Dobos
9 Lisandro Semedo
21 A. Özer
20 M. Ospitalieri
28 A. Jug

Coach: R. Eijer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bernie Raymond Blom · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.