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Ligue 1

Referee: B Bastien

St Etienne

T U S S S

1–2

Full-time

Lyon

T S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Lyon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 48%

50%

45%

Points per game

1,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

50%

45%

Both score Ø 53%

55%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,7

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%

15 Shots 23

9 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 9

5 Goalkeeper saves 7

4 Corners 4

4 Offside 5

18 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Etienne 3. · Lyon 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	19	17	2	0	+52	53
2	Lille	21	12	4	5	+13	40
3	St Etienne	20	10	6	4	+8	36
4	Lyon	20	9	7	4	+9	34
5	Strasbourg	21	8	8	5	+12	32
6	Montpellier	20	8	8	4	+10	32
7	Marseille	20	9	4	7	+4	31
8	Nice	21	8	7	6	-3	31
9	Rennes	21	8	6	7	+2	30
10	Bordeaux	20	7	7	6	+1	28
11	Reims	21	6	10	5	-3	28
12	Nimes	20	7	5	8	-2	26
13	Toulouse	21	6	7	8	-10	25
14	Nantes	21	6	5	10	-2	23
15	Angers	20	5	8	7	-2	23
16	Caen	21	3	9	9	-9	18
17	Amiens	21	5	3	13	-18	18
18	Dijon	20	4	5	11	-16	17
19	Monaco	21	3	6	12	-17	15
20	Guingamp	21	3	5	13	-29	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	10	10	0	0	+34	30
2	St Etienne	10	8	2	0	+14	26
3	Lille	11	7	3	1	+12	24
4	Lyon	11	6	3	2	+9	21
5	Bordeaux	11	5	4	2	+4	19
6	Marseille	9	5	3	1	+11	18
7	Reims	11	4	5	2	+2	17
8	Montpellier	10	4	4	2	+7	16
9	Strasbourg	10	4	4	2	+6	16
10	Nantes	10	4	3	3	+8	15
11	Rennes	10	4	3	3	+2	15
12	Nice	10	4	2	4	-4	14
13	Angers	11	3	4	4	-1	13
14	Nimes	10	3	3	4	+1	12
15	Toulouse	10	2	4	4	-4	10
16	Caen	11	2	4	5	-4	10
17	Amiens	10	3	1	6	-5	10
18	Dijon	9	2	2	5	-9	8
19	Guingamp	10	1	3	6	-8	6
20	Monaco	11	0	4	7	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	9	7	2	0	+18	23
2	Nice	11	4	5	2	+1	17
3	Strasbourg	11	4	4	3	+6	16
4	Montpellier	10	4	4	2	+3	16
5	Lille	10	5	1	4	+1	16
6	Rennes	11	4	3	4	+0	15
7	Toulouse	11	4	3	4	-6	15
8	Nimes	10	4	2	4	-3	14
9	Lyon	9	3	4	2	+0	13
10	Marseille	11	4	1	6	-7	13
11	Monaco	10	3	2	5	-3	11
12	Reims	10	2	5	3	-5	11
13	Angers	9	2	4	3	-1	10
14	St Etienne	10	2	4	4	-6	10
15	Bordeaux	9	2	3	4	-3	9
16	Dijon	11	2	3	6	-7	9
17	Caen	10	1	5	4	-5	8
18	Nantes	11	2	2	7	-10	8
19	Amiens	11	2	2	7	-13	8
20	Guingamp	11	2	2	7	-21	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.