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Eredivisie

Referee: Richard Liesveld

Groningen

T U U S S

1–2

Full-time

Ajax

S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Ajax

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 21/22 matches

Win Ø 58%

43%

73%

Points per game

1,6

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

38%

55%

Both score Ø 47%

52%

41%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,3

2,3

Conceded

1,2

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

16 Shots 10

3 Shots on target 8

4 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

0 Free kicks against 0

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Groningen 8. · Ajax 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	22	16	5	1	+33	53
2	Ajax	22	16	4	2	+37	52
3	AZ Alkmaar	23	11	4	8	+7	37
4	Vitesse	23	10	6	7	+21	36
5	Feyenoord	22	11	3	8	+11	36
6	Nijmegen	22	10	5	7	+4	35
7	Heracles	21	10	5	6	+3	35
8	Groningen	21	9	7	5	+1	34
9	Zwolle	20	8	5	7	+3	29
10	Heerenveen	23	8	5	10	-11	29
11	Den Haag	22	6	9	7	-1	27
12	Utrecht	20	7	5	8	+0	26
13	Twente	23	7	4	12	-18	25
14	Roda	23	5	9	9	-16	24
15	Willem II	23	4	10	9	-4	22
16	Excelsior	22	4	7	11	-16	19
17	De Graafschap	23	3	4	16	-23	13
18	Cambuur	23	2	7	14	-31	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	9	1	1	+24	28
2	PSV Eindhoven	10	8	2	0	+15	26
3	Nijmegen	12	8	2	2	+9	26
4	Groningen	11	7	3	1	+9	24
5	Vitesse	12	7	2	3	+17	23
6	Heracles	11	7	2	2	+7	23
7	Feyenoord	11	7	1	3	+11	22
8	AZ Alkmaar	12	6	2	4	+4	20
9	Heerenveen	11	5	3	3	+1	18
10	Zwolle	10	5	2	3	+1	17
11	Twente	10	5	1	4	-1	16
12	Utrecht	8	4	3	1	+4	15
13	Willem II	12	3	6	3	+3	15
14	Roda	13	3	6	4	-4	15
15	Den Haag	11	2	7	2	+0	13
16	Excelsior	11	2	3	6	-9	9
17	De Graafschap	11	2	2	7	-8	8
18	Cambuur	12	1	4	7	-17	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	12	8	3	1	+18	27
2	Ajax	11	7	3	1	+13	24
3	AZ Alkmaar	11	5	2	4	+3	17
4	Feyenoord	11	4	2	5	+0	14
5	Den Haag	11	4	2	5	-1	14
6	Vitesse	11	3	4	4	+4	13
7	Zwolle	10	3	3	4	+2	12
8	Heracles	10	3	3	4	-4	12
9	Utrecht	12	3	2	7	-4	11
10	Heerenveen	12	3	2	7	-12	11
11	Excelsior	11	2	4	5	-7	10
12	Groningen	10	2	4	4	-8	10
13	Nijmegen	10	2	3	5	-5	9
14	Roda	10	2	3	5	-12	9
15	Twente	13	2	3	8	-17	9
16	Willem II	11	1	4	6	-7	7
17	Cambuur	11	1	3	7	-14	6
18	De Graafschap	12	1	2	9	-15	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.