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Eredivisie

Referee: Kevin Blom

Nijmegen

S U S T U

0–3

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

1,8

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,0

4,2

Scored

1,2

3,0

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,8

This season — Eredivisie · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 59%

45%

73%

Points per game

1,6

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

36%

68%

Both score Ø 55%

36%

73%

Average goals

2,3

3,7

Scored

1,2

2,6

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%

16 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 8

5 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 8

1 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nijmegen 6. · PSV Eindhoven 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	23	17	4	2	+38	55
2	PSV Eindhoven	22	16	5	1	+33	53
3	AZ Alkmaar	23	11	4	8	+7	37
4	Vitesse	23	10	6	7	+21	36
5	Feyenoord	23	11	3	9	+9	36
6	Nijmegen	22	10	5	7	+4	35
7	Heracles	21	10	5	6	+3	35
8	Groningen	22	9	7	6	+0	34
9	Zwolle	21	9	5	7	+5	32
10	Den Haag	23	7	9	7	+1	30
11	Heerenveen	23	8	5	10	-11	29
12	Utrecht	20	7	5	8	+0	26
13	Twente	23	7	4	12	-18	25
14	Roda	23	5	9	9	-16	24
15	Willem II	23	4	10	9	-4	22
16	Excelsior	23	4	7	12	-18	19
17	De Graafschap	23	3	4	16	-23	13
18	Cambuur	23	2	7	14	-31	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	11	9	1	1	+24	28
2	PSV Eindhoven	10	8	2	0	+15	26
3	Nijmegen	12	8	2	2	+9	26
4	Groningen	12	7	3	2	+8	24
5	Vitesse	12	7	2	3	+17	23
6	Heracles	11	7	2	2	+7	23
7	Feyenoord	11	7	1	3	+11	22
8	AZ Alkmaar	12	6	2	4	+4	20
9	Zwolle	11	6	2	3	+3	20
10	Heerenveen	11	5	3	3	+1	18
11	Twente	10	5	1	4	-1	16
12	Utrecht	8	4	3	1	+4	15
13	Willem II	12	3	6	3	+3	15
14	Roda	13	3	6	4	-4	15
15	Den Haag	11	2	7	2	+0	13
16	Excelsior	12	2	3	7	-11	9
17	De Graafschap	11	2	2	7	-8	8
18	Cambuur	12	1	4	7	-17	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	12	8	3	1	+18	27
2	Ajax	12	8	3	1	+14	27
3	AZ Alkmaar	11	5	2	4	+3	17
4	Den Haag	12	5	2	5	+1	17
5	Feyenoord	12	4	2	6	-2	14
6	Vitesse	11	3	4	4	+4	13
7	Zwolle	10	3	3	4	+2	12
8	Heracles	10	3	3	4	-4	12
9	Utrecht	12	3	2	7	-4	11
10	Heerenveen	12	3	2	7	-12	11
11	Excelsior	11	2	4	5	-7	10
12	Groningen	10	2	4	4	-8	10
13	Nijmegen	10	2	3	5	-5	9
14	Roda	10	2	3	5	-12	9
15	Twente	13	2	3	8	-17	9
16	Willem II	11	1	4	6	-7	7
17	Cambuur	11	1	3	7	-14	6
18	De Graafschap	12	1	2	9	-15	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.