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Eredivisie
Referee: Bjorn Kuipers
Roda
U S T T S
1–2
Full-time
Heerenveen
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roda Heerenveen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 29%
25%
32%
Points per game
1,1
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
46%
57%
Both score Ø 54%
46%
61%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 14
6 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Roda 14. · Heerenveen 13. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 29 21 6 2 +43 69
2 Ajax 28 21 5 2 +50 68
3 Feyenoord 29 16 4 9 +19 52
4 AZ Alkmaar 29 14 5 10 +9 47
5 Vitesse 29 12 7 10 +21 43
6 Nijmegen 29 12 7 10 +0 43
7 Zwolle 26 12 5 9 +9 41
8 Heracles 26 12 5 9 -2 41
9 Twente 29 11 5 13 -12 38
10 Den Haag 28 9 10 9 -1 37
11 Utrecht 25 10 6 9 +5 36
12 Groningen 27 9 7 11 -12 34
13 Heerenveen 28 9 7 12 -15 34
14 Roda 28 7 10 11 -14 31
15 Willem II 29 5 10 14 -14 25
16 Excelsior 29 6 7 16 -24 25
17 De Graafschap 29 4 6 19 -24 18
18 Cambuur 29 3 8 18 -38 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Nov -15 Heerenveen – Roda 3–0

Match report

Roda Heerenveen
Tom van Hyfte 🟨
4′
Martin Milec 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
51′
⚽ A. Zeneli 0–1
L. Slagveer
A. van Peppen 🔁
↦ H. Dijkhuizen
54′
K. Peterson 🔁
↦ F. Noor
54′
65′
🟨 Mitchell Te Vrede
1–1 T. Van Hyfte ⚽
66′
Jordy Buijs 🟨
69′
69′
🔁 W. Huizing
↦ S. Marzo
T. Jurić 🔁
↦ M. van Duinen
80′
80′
🔁 M. Thorsby
↦ S. Larsson
88′
🔁 C. Cavlan
↦ J. St. Juste
Arjan Swinkels 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Lucas Bijker
92′
⚽ B. van den Boomen 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Roda

1 B. van Leer G
23 A. Swinkels D
3 J. Buijs D
17 H. Dijkhuizen D
31 U. Inceman M
7 T. Van Hyfte M
2 M. Milec D
24 F. Noor M
30 G. Zhukov M
14 R. Poepon F
19 M. van Duinen F
Bench (7)
5 A. van Peppen
11 K. Peterson
9 T. Jurić
4 R. Griffiths
6 N. Rutjes
16 Marcos Gullón
21 B. Verbist

Heerenveen

1 E. Mulder G
6 S. Marzo D
5 L. Bijker D
3 K. Otigba D
4 J. van Aken D
16 J. St. Juste D
17 B. van den Boomen M
13 A. Zeneli F
11 S. Larsson F
9 M. te Vrede F
7 L. Slagveer F
Bench (7)
25 W. Huizing
8 M. Thorsby
22 C. Cavlan
14 R. van Koesveld
15 L. Zahovič
20 H. Veerman
33 M. de Fockert

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Bjorn Kuipers · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.