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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
Utrecht
U T S S S
3–0
Full-time
Twente
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,0
This season — Eredivisie · 26/29 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
38%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
50%
55%
Both score Ø 62%
58%
66%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 3
5 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Utrecht 5. · Twente 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 29 23 3 3 +58 72
2 Ajax 30 22 6 2 +47 72
3 PSV Eindhoven 29 19 8 2 +36 65
4 Vitesse 30 14 6 10 +12 48
5 Utrecht 26 13 7 6 +12 46
6 Twente 29 11 9 9 +2 42
7 Heerenveen 28 11 6 11 +8 39
8 AZ Alkmaar 27 9 12 6 +5 39
9 Heracles 30 10 7 13 -4 37
10 Willem II 29 8 9 12 -8 33
11 Zwolle 29 8 7 14 -21 31
12 Den Haag 30 9 4 17 -22 31
13 Groningen 28 6 11 11 -5 29
14 Sparta Rotterdam 30 7 7 16 -19 28
15 Excelsior 30 6 10 14 -19 28
16 Nijmegen 30 7 7 16 -26 28
17 Roda 30 5 12 13 -24 27
18 Go Ahead Eagles 30 6 5 19 -32 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Utrecht Twente
Ramon Leeuwin 🟨
9′
Half-time 0–0
N. Barazite 🔁
↦ Z. Labyad
58′
60′
🟨 Mateusz Klich
1–0 G. Kerk
N. Barazite
62′
2–0 N. Barazite
G. Kerk
65′
R. Zivkovic 🔁
↦ G. Kerk
66′
70′
🔁 J. Hooiveld
↦ S. Thesker
70′
🔁 D. George
↦ D. Trajkovski
75′
🟨 Jos Hooiveld
3–0 R. Zivkovic
Y. Ayoub
78′
Willem Janssen 🟨
80′
82′
🔁 T. Hölscher
↦ F. Jensen
E. Braafheid 🔁
↦ W. Janssen
87′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Utrecht

4-3-1-2
16 D. Jensen G
3 R. Leeuwin D
5 K. Conboy D
2 M. van der Maarel D
23 W. Brama M
8 W. Janssen D
19 Z. Labyad F
6 Y. Ayoub M
25 S. Amrabat M
22 S. Haller F
27 G. Kerk F
Bench (8)
10 N. Barazite
9 R. Zivkovic
28 E. Braafheid
1 R. Ruiter
11 A. Ludwig
12 J. Hardeveld
17 S. Klaiber
26 D. Rosheuvel

Coach: E. ten Hag

Twente

4-3-3
1 N. Marsman G
5 S. Thesker D
6 D. Trajkovski D
25 P. Bijen D
2 H. ter Avest D
28 J. van der Lely D
43 M. Klich M
22 K. Mokotjo M
19 F. Jensen M
10 B. Celina M
17 E. Ünal F
Bench (9)
4 J. Hooiveld
30 D. George
12 T. Hölscher
13 P. Boevink
3 J. Andersen
14 Y. Yeboah
16 J. Drommel
23 J. van der Heyden
27 E. Bunjaki

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.