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Eredivisie

Referee: Paulus van Boekel

PSV Eindhoven

S S S S U

5–0

Full-time

Willem II

T S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+0,0

This season — Eredivisie · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 47%

66%

28%

Points per game

2,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

48%

34%

Both score Ø 47%

48%

45%

Average goals

2,6

2,1

Scored

1,9

0,9

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

63% Possession 37%

29 Shots 6

14 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 9

7 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

7 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 3. · Willem II 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	30	23	4	3	+58	73
2	Ajax	30	22	6	2	+47	72
3	PSV Eindhoven	29	19	8	2	+36	65
4	Utrecht	27	14	7	6	+15	49
5	Vitesse	30	14	6	10	+12	48
6	Twente	30	11	9	10	-1	42
7	Heerenveen	28	11	6	11	+8	39
8	AZ Alkmaar	27	9	12	6	+5	39
9	Heracles	30	10	7	13	-4	37
10	Willem II	29	8	9	12	-8	33
11	Zwolle	30	8	8	14	-21	32
12	Den Haag	30	9	4	17	-22	31
13	Groningen	28	6	11	11	-5	29
14	Sparta Rotterdam	30	7	7	16	-19	28
15	Excelsior	30	6	10	14	-19	28
16	Nijmegen	30	7	7	16	-26	28
17	Roda	30	5	12	13	-24	27
18	Go Ahead Eagles	30	6	5	19	-32	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Feyenoord	15	13	2	0	+41	41
2	Ajax	15	12	2	1	+28	38
3	PSV Eindhoven	14	10	3	1	+17	33
4	Vitesse	15	8	2	5	+9	26
5	Heerenveen	14	7	4	3	+11	25
6	Twente	15	7	4	4	+5	25
7	Utrecht	13	7	3	3	+9	24
8	Heracles	15	7	3	5	+8	24
9	AZ Alkmaar	14	4	8	2	+6	20
10	Den Haag	15	6	2	7	-2	20
11	Sparta Rotterdam	15	5	4	6	+0	19
12	Nijmegen	15	5	4	6	-5	19
13	Excelsior	15	4	5	6	-2	17
14	Roda	15	4	5	6	-4	17
15	Willem II	15	4	5	6	-5	17
16	Zwolle	15	4	5	6	-9	17
17	Groningen	14	3	7	4	-5	16
18	Go Ahead Eagles	15	4	1	10	-12	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	15	10	4	1	+19	34
2	PSV Eindhoven	15	9	5	1	+19	32
3	Feyenoord	15	10	2	3	+17	32
4	Utrecht	14	7	4	3	+6	25
5	Vitesse	15	6	4	5	+3	22
6	AZ Alkmaar	13	5	4	4	-1	19
7	Twente	15	4	5	6	-6	17
8	Willem II	14	4	4	6	-3	16
9	Zwolle	15	4	3	8	-12	15
10	Heerenveen	14	4	2	8	-3	14
11	Groningen	14	3	4	7	+0	13
12	Heracles	15	3	4	8	-12	13
13	Excelsior	15	2	5	8	-17	11
14	Den Haag	15	3	2	10	-20	11
15	Go Ahead Eagles	15	2	4	9	-20	10
16	Roda	15	1	7	7	-20	10
17	Sparta Rotterdam	15	2	3	10	-19	9
18	Nijmegen	15	2	3	10	-21	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.