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Eredivisie
Referee: Martin Van den Kerkhof
AZ Alkmaar
U U T S T
1–1
Full-time
Roda
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AZ Alkmaar Roda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
2,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,7
This season — Eredivisie · 26/29 matches
Win Ø 26%
35%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
58%
41%
Both score Ø 52%
73%
31%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

66% Possession 34%
26 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 2
9 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
13 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match AZ Alkmaar 8. · Roda 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 29 23 3 3 +58 72
2 Ajax 30 22 6 2 +47 72
3 PSV Eindhoven 29 19 8 2 +36 65
4 Vitesse 30 14 6 10 +12 48
5 Utrecht 26 13 7 6 +12 46
6 Twente 29 11 9 9 +2 42
7 Heerenveen 28 11 6 11 +8 39
8 AZ Alkmaar 26 9 11 6 +5 38
9 Heracles 30 10 7 13 -4 37
10 Willem II 29 8 9 12 -8 33
11 Zwolle 29 8 7 14 -21 31
12 Den Haag 30 9 4 17 -22 31
13 Groningen 28 6 11 11 -5 29
14 Sparta Rotterdam 30 7 7 16 -19 28
15 Excelsior 30 6 10 14 -19 28
16 Nijmegen 30 7 7 16 -26 28
17 Roda 29 5 11 13 -24 26
18 Go Ahead Eagles 30 6 5 19 -32 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

AZ Alkmaar Roda
1–0 A. Jahanbakhsh
W. Weghorst
33′
Mats Seuntjens 🟨
38′
39′
D. Werker 1–1
M. Paulissen
Half-time 1–1
I. Bel Hassani 🔁
↦ M. Seuntjens
46′
F. Friday 🔁
↦ D. dos Santos
68′
70′
🔁 D. Schahin
↦ M. Paulissen
71′
🟨 Ard Van Peppen
74′
🟨 Tom van Hyfte
75′
🔁 B. Badibanga
↦ G. van Velzen
90′
🟨 Daryl Werker
94′
🔁 B. Verboom
↦ M. Rosheuvel
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
24 T. Krul G
4 R. Vlaar D
29 F. Lewis D
5 R. Haps D
23 D. Luckassen D
30 S. Wuytens D
8 J. van Overeem M
20 M. Seuntjens F
7 A. Jahanbakhsh F
9 W. Weghorst F
19 D. dos Santos F
Bench (8)
18 I. Bel Hassani
27 F. Friday
1 S. Rochet
6 B. Rienstra
12 P. Hatzidiakos
22 T. Ouwejan
26 J. Helmer
28 L. Garcia

Coach: J. van den Brom

Roda

4-2-3-1
1 B. van Leer G
5 A. van Peppen D
2 M. Milec D
20 D. Werker D
27 F. Ananou D
30 M. El Makrini M
7 T. Van Hyfte M
14 A. Ajagun M
17 M. Rosheuvel M
15 G. van Velzen F
19 M. Paulissen M
Bench (10)
9 D. Schahin
11 B. Badibanga
44 B. Verboom
32 C. Djim
22 Y. De Winter
24 S. Savić
31 D. Stassar
34 A. Yasar
33 K. Demirtapa
35 T. Roex

Coach: Y. Anastasiou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Martin Van den Kerkhof · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.