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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hugo Miguel
Guimaraes
S U U S S
2–1
Full-time
Tondela
U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Tondela
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 30%
48%
11%
Points per game
1,7
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
44%
41%
Both score Ø 48%
48%
48%
Average goals
2,6
2,4
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
1,1
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

60% Possession 40%
17 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 9
6 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guimaraes 5. · Tondela 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 28 20 7 1 +49 67
2 Benfica 27 20 5 2 +43 65
3 Sp Lisbon 28 18 6 4 +28 60
4 Sp Braga 28 14 8 6 +17 50
5 Guimaraes 27 13 8 6 +10 47
6 Maritimo 27 11 8 8 +2 41
7 Rio Ave 28 11 6 11 -3 39
8 Chaves 27 8 12 7 +1 36
9 Vitoria Setubal 28 9 8 11 +0 35
10 Feirense 28 10 5 13 -16 35
11 Boavista 28 8 10 10 -3 34
12 Belenenses 28 8 8 12 -12 32
13 Pacos Ferreira 28 6 10 12 -12 28
14 Arouca 28 8 4 16 -19 28
15 Estoril 28 6 7 15 -13 25
16 Moreirense 27 5 6 16 -18 21
17 Nacional 28 4 8 16 -26 20
18 Tondela 27 3 8 16 -28 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guimaraes Tondela
1–0 D. Texeira
Hernâni
14′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 P. Hurtado
Hernâni
46′
Tozé 🔁
↦ P. Hurtado
72′
Raphael 🔁
↦ Hernâni
72′
75′
🔁 Pité
↦ Wagner
79′
🟨 Miguel Cardoso
79′
🔁 Eli
↦ Murilo
80′
🟨 Kaká
Douglas Jesus 🟨
82′
84′
Jaílson 2–1
85′
🔁 Pedro Nuno
↦ Miguel Cardoso
G. Celis 🔁
↦ M. Marega
88′
90′
🟨 Pedro Nuno
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Guimaraes

4-3-3
1 Douglas Jesus G
26 P. Gouano D
2 Pedrão D
76 Bruno Gaspar D
53 G. Konan D
5 Rafael Miranda M
16 P. Hurtado M
8 B. Zungu M
91 D. Texeira F
9 Hernâni M
21 M. Marega F
Bench (7)
10 Tozé
81 Raphael
93 G. Celis
3 Josué Sá
33 Georgemy
41 Rúben Ferreira
71 Sturgeon

Coach: Pedro Martins

Tondela

4-2-3-1
12 Ricardo Janota G
4 Kaká D
22 David Bruno D
13 Jaílson D
7 Claude Gonçalves M
8 Hélder Tavares M
28 Wagner F
15 J. Murillo F
11 Miguel Cardoso M
24 Y. Osorio D
77 Murilo M
Bench (7)
20 Pité
99 Eli
17 Pedro Nuno
3 Pica
14 Fernando Ferreira
23 Miguel Batista
27 Bruno Monteiro

Coach: Pepa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Hugo Miguel · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.