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Eredivisie
Referee: Dennis Higler
Twente
T T T S T
2–1
Full-time
Heracles
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
16 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 6
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 4
17 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 16. · Heracles 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 6 5 0 1 +11 15
2 Heerenveen 6 4 2 0 +5 14
3 Vitesse 6 4 1 1 +8 13
4 Feyenoord 6 4 0 2 +6 12
5 AZ Alkmaar 6 4 0 2 +3 12
6 Zwolle 6 3 2 1 +2 11
7 Ajax 6 3 1 2 +5 10
8 VVV Venlo 6 2 3 1 +2 9
9 Utrecht 6 3 0 3 -4 9
10 Heracles 6 2 2 2 -1 8
11 Groningen 6 2 2 2 -1 8
12 Excelsior 6 2 1 3 -2 7
13 NAC Breda 6 2 1 3 -4 7
14 Den Haag 6 2 1 3 -4 7
15 Sparta Rotterdam 6 1 2 3 -5 5
16 Twente 6 1 0 5 -2 3
17 Willem II 6 1 0 5 -8 3
18 Roda 6 0 0 6 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Heracles
1–0 F. Jensen
2′
Haris Vučkić 🟨
9′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 R. Niemeijer
↦ P. van Ooijen
52′
P. Gladon 1–1
B. Darri
56′
🟨 Robin Propper
A. Tighadouini 🔁
↦ F. Jensen
58′
61′
🔁 W. Droste
↦ T. Breukers
D. Holla 🔁
↦ M. Liendl
68′
74′
🟨 Brandley Kuwas
2–1 D. Holla
76′
77′
🔁 K. Peterson
↦ B. Kuwas
C. Cuevas 🔁
↦ O. Assaidi
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Twente

4-2-3-1
26 J. Brondeel G
3 T. Lam D
25 P. Bijen D
2 H. ter Avest D
28 J. van der Lely D
18 M. Liendl M
10 H. Vučkič M
19 F. Jensen M
8 O. Assaidi F
9 T. Boere F
27 L. Slagveer F
Bench (11)
34 A. Tighadouini
21 D. Holla
15 C. Cuevas
4 J. Hooiveld
5 S. Thesker
11 A. Laukart
13 N. Hengelman
16 J. Drommel
17 M. Kvasina
23 J. van der Heyden
30 D. George

Coach: R. Hake

Heracles

4-3-3
1 B. Castro G
2 T. Breukers D
4 R. Pröpper D
34 J. Hardeveld D
8 L. Duarte M
14 J. Pelupessy M
20 P. van Ooijen M
35 Jamiro M
9 P. Gladon F
7 B. Darri F
17 B. Kuwas F
Bench (9)
29 R. Niemeijer
12 W. Droste
18 K. Peterson
3 D. Wuytens
6 D. Van den Buijs
15 J. Navrátil
19 V. Vermeij
26 H. Zeinstra
28 M. Brouwer

Coach: J. Stegeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Dennis Higler · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.