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Eredivisie
Referee: Edwin Van de Graaf
Heerenveen
T T T T U
1–1
Full-time
Heracles
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,0
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
6,0
3,0
Scored
3,0
2,0
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%
19 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
10 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heerenveen 11. · Heracles 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vitesse 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 VVV Venlo 2 2 0 0 +4 6
3 Utrecht 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Zwolle 1 1 0 0 +2 3
5 AZ Alkmaar 2 1 0 1 +1 3
6 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Excelsior 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Heracles 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Feyenoord 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Groningen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Heerenveen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Willem II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Ajax 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Twente 2 0 0 2 -2 0
15 NAC Breda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
16 Sparta Rotterdam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
17 Roda 2 0 0 2 -4 0
18 Den Haag 2 0 0 2 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heerenveen Heracles
Martin Ødegaard 🟨
22′
Daniel Høegh 🟨
24′
Lucas Woudenberg 🟨
44′
Half-time 0–1
46′
R. Pröpper 0–1
B. Kuwas
46′
🔁 K. Peterson
↦ B. Darri
M. Rojas 🔁
↦ M. Thorsby
60′
67′
🔁 Jamiro
↦ R. Niemeijer
H. Veerman 🔁
↦ Y. Kobayashi
74′
N. Mihajlović 🔁
↦ A. Zeneli
74′
89′
🔁 J. Navrátil
↦ B. Kuwas
1–1 N. Mihajlović
W. van der Steen
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Heerenveen

4-3-3
23 W. van der Steen G
3 D. Høegh D
16 L. Woudenberg D
4 J. van Aken D
2 D. Dumfries D
6 S. Schaars M
21 Y. Kobayashi M
8 M. Thorsby M
9 R. Ghoochannejhad F
13 A. Zeneli F
10 M. Ødegaard F
Bench (9)
7 M. Rojas
20 H. Veerman
17 N. Mihajlović
18 M. Vlap
25 J. Bekkema
12 D. Schmidt
5 K. Pierie
1 T. Doornbusch
19 P. van Amersfoort

Coach: J. Streppel

Heracles

4-3-3
1 B. Castro G
2 T. Breukers D
5 B. van Hintum D
4 R. Pröpper D
34 J. Hardeveld D
14 J. Pelupessy M
20 P. van Ooijen M
29 R. Niemeijer M
9 P. Gladon F
7 B. Darri F
17 B. Kuwas F
Bench (10)
18 K. Peterson
35 Jamiro
15 J. Navrátil
3 D. Wuytens
28 M. Brouwer
10 S. Armenteros
8 L. Duarte
26 H. Zeinstra
21 S. Jakubiak
12 W. Droste

Coach: J. Stegeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Edwin Van de Graaf · 50 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.