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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
Heracles
S T S U U
2–4
Full-time
Feyenoord
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,7
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,7
Conceded
1,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

50% Possession 50%
12 Shots 21
6 Shots on target 11
0 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 10. · Feyenoord 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 PSV Eindhoven 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 Zwolle 3 2 1 0 +4 7
4 Vitesse 3 2 0 1 +4 6
5 Utrecht 3 2 0 1 +4 6
6 Ajax 3 2 0 1 +3 6
7 AZ Alkmaar 3 2 0 1 +2 6
8 VVV Venlo 3 2 0 1 +2 6
9 Heerenveen 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Heracles 3 1 2 0 +1 5
11 Excelsior 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Groningen 3 1 1 1 -1 4
13 Sparta Rotterdam 3 0 2 1 -3 2
14 NAC Breda 3 0 1 2 -6 1
15 Twente 3 0 0 3 -4 0
16 Roda 3 0 0 3 -6 0
17 Den Haag 3 0 0 3 -6 0
18 Willem II 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Feyenoord
22′
🔁 M. Kramer
↦ N. Jørgensen
22′
S. Berghuis 0–1
K. El Ahmadi
29′
S. Berghuis 0–2
M. Kramer
33′
J. Boëtius 0–3
Jamiro 🔁
↦ P. van Ooijen
38′
Half-time 0–3
L. Duarte 🔁
↦ B. van Hintum
63′
68′
🔁 S. Larsson
↦ J. Boëtius
71′
🟨 Tonny Vilhena
1–3 R. Niemeijer
73′
V. Vermeij 🔁
↦ J. Pelupessy
76′
2–3 R. Niemeijer
81′
Kristoffer Peterson 🟨
87′
Brahim Darri 🟨
90′
Lerin Duarte 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Jan-Arie Van der Heijden
93′
S. Larsson 2–4
J. Toornstra
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Heracles

4-3-3
1 B. Castro G
2 T. Breukers D
5 B. van Hintum D
4 R. Pröpper D
34 J. Hardeveld D
14 J. Pelupessy M
20 P. van Ooijen M
29 R. Niemeijer M
9 P. Gladon F
7 B. Darri F
18 K. Peterson F
Bench (9)
35 Jamiro
8 L. Duarte
19 V. Vermeij
3 D. Wuytens
15 J. Navrátil
24 G. Agbaljan
26 H. Zeinstra
27 N. Leemhuis
28 M. Brouwer

Coach: J. Stegeman

Feyenoord

4-3-3
25 B. Jones G
6 J. van der Heijden D
18 M. Nelom D
17 K. Diks D
4 J. St. Juste D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
28 J. Toornstra M
10 T. Vilhena M
9 N. Jørgensen F
19 S. Berghuis F
7 J. Boëtius F
Bench (11)
29 M. Kramer
11 S. Larsson
20 R. Tapia
21 S. Amrabat
22 J. Bijlow
30 R. ten Hove
33 Eric Botteghin
34 D. Vente
35 T. Malacia
36 E. Hansson
39 C. Toure

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.