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Eredivisie
Referee: Jochem Kamphuis
Twente
T T T T T
4–0
Full-time
Utrecht
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Utrecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
0%
75%
Points per game
0,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
1,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

37% Possession 63%
13 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
5 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 17. · Utrecht 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 AZ Alkmaar 5 4 0 1 +5 12
3 Heerenveen 5 3 2 0 +4 11
4 Zwolle 5 3 1 1 +2 10
5 Vitesse 4 3 0 1 +7 9
6 Ajax 4 3 0 1 +6 9
7 Utrecht 4 3 0 1 +6 9
8 PSV Eindhoven 4 3 0 1 +4 9
9 VVV Venlo 4 2 1 1 +2 7
10 Heracles 5 1 2 2 -2 5
11 Groningen 5 1 2 2 -2 5
12 Sparta Rotterdam 5 1 2 2 -4 5
13 Excelsior 5 1 1 3 -4 4
14 NAC Breda 5 1 1 3 -6 4
15 Den Haag 4 1 0 3 -5 3
16 Willem II 5 1 0 4 -7 3
17 Twente 4 0 0 4 -5 0
18 Roda 5 0 0 5 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Utrecht
1–0 T. Boere
P. Bijen
9′
2–0 T. Lam
M. Liendl
18′
3–0 L. Slagveer
T. Boere
35′
Half-time 3–0
H. Vučkič 🔁
↦ D. Holla
46′
J. van der Heyden 🔁
↦ F. Jensen
46′
46′
🔁 S. Klaiber
↦ G. Troupée
46′
🔁 J. Bahebeck
↦ G. Kerk
59′
🟨 Willem Janssen
66′
🟨 Yassin Ayoub
4–0 O. Assaidi
75′
A. Tighadouini 🔁
↦ O. Assaidi
76′
78′
🔁 R. Strieder
↦ Y. Ayoub
Thomas Lam 🟨
80′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Twente

4-3-3
26 J. Brondeel G
3 T. Lam D
25 P. Bijen D
2 H. ter Avest D
28 J. van der Lely D
21 D. Holla M
18 M. Liendl M
19 F. Jensen M
8 O. Assaidi F
9 T. Boere F
27 L. Slagveer F
Bench (10)
10 H. Vučkič
23 J. van der Heyden
34 A. Tighadouini
4 J. Hooiveld
6 D. Trajkovski
7 N. Gjorgjev
13 N. Hengelman
16 J. Drommel
17 M. Kvasina
22 I. Buckley-Ricketts

Coach: R. Hake

Utrecht

4-3-1-2
1 D. Jensen G
28 E. Braafheid D
14 W. Janssen D
2 M. van der Maarel D
20 G. Troupée D
18 U. Emanuelson M
10 Z. Labyad F
8 Y. Ayoub M
22 S. van de Streek M
7 G. Kerk F
11 C. Dessers F
Bench (11)
17 S. Klaiber
21 J. Bahebeck
6 R. Strieder
3 R. Leeuwin
5 D. Dumić
15 Robin van der Meer
16 N. Marsman
19 B. Ould-Chikh
25 O. Velanas
27 L. Görtler
26 M. Willock

Coach: E. ten Hag

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jochem Kamphuis · 95 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.