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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
Heracles
T U T T U
1–1
Full-time
Twente
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
4,2
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
14%
57%
Points per game
0,9
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
29%
86%
Both score Ø 72%
57%
86%
Average goals
2,1
4,0
Scored
0,9
2,1
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 13. · Twente 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 7 7 0 0 +19 21
2 Ajax 8 6 1 1 +12 19
3 PSV Eindhoven 8 5 2 1 +11 17
4 Heerenveen 7 4 2 1 +8 14
5 Vitesse 8 4 1 3 +4 13
6 Twente 7 4 0 3 +2 12
7 AZ Alkmaar 6 3 2 1 +5 11
8 Sparta Rotterdam 7 3 1 3 +0 10
9 Den Haag 8 3 1 4 -4 10
10 Excelsior 8 3 1 4 -4 10
11 Nijmegen 8 2 3 3 -6 9
12 Go Ahead Eagles 8 2 2 4 -4 8
13 Heracles 7 1 3 3 -3 6
14 Groningen 8 1 3 4 -5 6
15 Willem II 7 1 3 3 -6 6
16 Utrecht 6 1 2 3 -4 5
17 Zwolle 8 1 2 5 -13 5
18 Roda 8 0 3 5 -12 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Twente
28′
🟨 Enes Ünal
Tim Breukers 🟨
31′
36′
🟨 Bersant Celina
Joey Pelupessy 🟨
39′
40′
M. Klich 0–1
1–1 S. Armenteros
B. Kuwas
42′
Half-time 1–1
59′
🔁 F. Jensen
↦ B. Celina
B. Darri 🔁
↦ J. Navrátil
60′
64′
🟨 Mateusz Klich
71′
🔁 D. Seys
↦ C. Ede
P. van Ooijen 🔁
↦ L. Duarte
77′
86′
🔁 J. Oosterwijk
↦ Y. Yeboah
V. Vermeij 🔁
↦ S. Armenteros
87′
90′
🟨 Peet Bijen
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Heracles

4-3-3
1 B. Castro G
2 T. Breukers D
3 M. te Wierik D
4 R. Pröpper D
27 J. Hoogma D
8 L. Duarte M
10 T. Bruns M
14 J. Pelupessy M
9 S. Armenteros F
17 B. Kuwas F
15 J. Navrátil F
Bench (9)
7 B. Darri
20 P. van Ooijen
19 V. Vermeij
6 D. Vujićević
11 T. Kada
12 W. Droste
22 D. van Mieghem
25 R. Fij
28 M. Brouwer

Coach: J. Stegeman

Twente

4-3-3
1 N. Marsman G
5 S. Thesker D
6 D. Trajkovski D
25 P. Bijen D
2 H. ter Avest D
7 C. Ede F
43 M. Klich M
22 K. Mokotjo M
10 B. Celina M
17 E. Ünal F
14 Y. Yeboah F
Bench (11)
19 F. Jensen
11 D. Seys
24 J. Oosterwijk
4 G. Katsikas
12 T. Hölscher
16 J. Drommel
20 S. Stevens
21 K. Ebecilio
23 J. van der Heyden
28 J. van der Lely
30 D. George

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.