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Eredivisie
Referee: Christaan Bax
1–0
Full-time
Twente
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam Twente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
2,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

44% Possession 56%
10 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 9
1 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 14. · Twente 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 4 4 0 0 +9 12
2 Vitesse 4 3 0 1 +7 9
3 Ajax 4 3 0 1 +6 9
4 PSV Eindhoven 4 3 0 1 +4 9
5 Heerenveen 4 2 2 0 +3 8
6 Zwolle 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Utrecht 3 2 0 1 +4 6
8 AZ Alkmaar 3 2 0 1 +2 6
9 VVV Venlo 3 2 0 1 +2 6
10 Heracles 4 1 2 1 -1 5
11 Groningen 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Excelsior 4 1 1 2 -3 4
13 Den Haag 4 1 0 3 -5 3
14 Sparta Rotterdam 3 0 2 1 -3 2
15 NAC Breda 3 0 1 2 -6 1
16 Twente 3 0 0 3 -4 0
17 Roda 3 0 0 3 -6 0
18 Willem II 4 0 0 4 -9 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sparta Rotterdam Twente
1–0 C. Goodwin
L. Brogno
18′
J. Chabot 🔁
↦ M. Breuer
21′
Half-time 1–0
60′
🔁 A. Tighadouini
↦ O. Assaidi
S. Spierings 🔁
↦ R. Ache
63′
George Dobson 🟨
75′
76′
🔁 I. Buckley-Ricketts
↦ H. Vučkič
77′
🟨 Stefan Thesker
S. Fischer 🔁
↦ L. Brogno
87′
87′
🔁 J. Hooiveld
↦ T. Lam
Stijn Spierings 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Stefan Thesker
90′
🟥 Stefan Thesker
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-3
1 R. Kortsmit G
5 M. Breuer D
6 B. Vriends D
3 N. Marfelt D
2 S. Floranus D
8 K. Dougall M
4 G. Dobson M
7 L. Brogno F
10 R. Mühren M
11 C. Goodwin M
9 R. Ache F
Bench (12)
16 J. Chabot
21 S. Spierings
15 S. Fischer
17 T. Verhaar
22 I. Alhaft
30 B. Janssen
19 D. Volaš
20 A. Craninx
13 D. Duarte
18 R. Sanusi
12 F. Holst
14 F. Bambock

Coach: A. Pastoor

Twente

4-3-3
26 J. Brondeel G
5 S. Thesker D
3 T. Lam D
25 P. Bijen D
28 J. van der Lely D
21 D. Holla M
18 M. Liendl M
10 H. Vučkič M
8 O. Assaidi F
27 L. Slagveer F
17 M. Kvasina F
Bench (10)
34 A. Tighadouini
22 I. Buckley-Ricketts
4 J. Hooiveld
30 D. George
13 N. Hengelman
6 D. Trajkovski
2 H. ter Avest
16 J. Drommel
23 J. van der Heyden
7 N. Gjorgjev

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Christaan Bax · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.