Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Eredivisie

Referee: Ed Peter Janssen

Ajax

T S S U S

3–1

Full-time

Excelsior

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Ajax Excelsior

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

100%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

5,0

3,2

Scored

3,8

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+2,7

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,1

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 77%

87%

67%

Both score Ø 64%

60%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,8

Scored

3,1

1,2

Conceded

0,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

+2,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

67% Possession 33%

22 Shots 11

7 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 1

3 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 3. · Excelsior 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	16	13	1	2	+24	40
2	AZ Alkmaar	16	11	2	3	+14	35
3	Ajax	15	10	2	3	+32	32
4	Zwolle	16	8	6	2	+8	30
5	Feyenoord	15	7	5	3	+10	26
6	Utrecht	13	7	2	4	-1	23
7	Den Haag	15	7	2	6	-2	23
8	Heracles	16	6	3	7	-9	21
9	Heerenveen	15	5	5	5	-2	20
10	Vitesse	13	5	4	4	+7	19
11	Groningen	16	4	5	7	-2	17
12	Excelsior	15	5	2	8	-6	17
13	VVV Venlo	16	3	7	6	-7	16
14	Willem II	16	4	4	8	-10	16
15	Twente	16	4	1	11	-9	13
16	NAC Breda	16	3	4	9	-16	13
17	Sparta Rotterdam	15	2	5	8	-13	11
18	Roda	16	3	2	11	-18	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Heracles	9	6	2	1	+6	20
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	0	2	+8	18
4	Zwolle	8	5	2	1	+7	17
5	Ajax	7	5	0	2	+14	15
6	Groningen	9	3	4	2	+1	13
7	Feyenoord	8	3	3	2	+2	12
8	Den Haag	9	3	2	4	-3	11
9	Twente	8	3	1	4	+0	10
10	Utrecht	5	3	1	1	+0	10
11	Willem II	8	2	2	4	-1	8
12	Roda	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Sparta Rotterdam	7	2	2	3	-3	8
14	NAC Breda	8	2	1	5	-12	7
15	Vitesse	6	1	3	2	+0	6
16	VVV Venlo	9	1	3	5	-7	6
17	Heerenveen	7	1	2	4	-8	5
18	Excelsior	8	1	1	6	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	6	1	2	+11	19
2	Ajax	8	5	2	1	+18	17
3	AZ Alkmaar	8	5	2	1	+6	17
4	Heerenveen	8	4	3	1	+6	15
5	Feyenoord	7	4	2	1	+8	14
6	Vitesse	7	4	1	2	+7	13
7	Excelsior	7	4	1	2	+2	13
8	Zwolle	8	3	4	1	+1	13
9	Utrecht	8	4	1	3	-1	13
10	Den Haag	6	4	0	2	+1	12
11	VVV Venlo	7	2	4	1	+0	10
12	Willem II	8	2	2	4	-9	8
13	NAC Breda	8	1	3	4	-4	6
14	Groningen	7	1	1	5	-3	4
15	Twente	8	1	0	7	-9	3
16	Sparta Rotterdam	8	0	3	5	-10	3
17	Roda	9	1	0	8	-15	3
18	Heracles	7	0	1	6	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.