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Eredivisie

Referee: Jeroen Manschot

Excelsior

S S T T T

1–2

Full-time

Zwolle

S U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Zwolle

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 43%

36%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

64%

36%

Both score Ø 57%

64%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,4

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%

11 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 8

1 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 11

6 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Excelsior 11. · Zwolle 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	13	0	1	+27	39
2	AZ Alkmaar	14	10	1	3	+9	31
3	Ajax	14	9	2	3	+29	29
4	Zwolle	14	7	5	2	+7	26
5	Feyenoord	14	7	4	3	+10	25
6	Utrecht	12	6	2	4	-2	20
7	Heerenveen	14	5	4	5	-2	19
8	Vitesse	12	5	3	4	+7	18
9	Heracles	14	5	3	6	-5	18
10	Den Haag	13	5	2	6	-4	17
11	Excelsior	14	5	2	7	-5	17
12	VVV Venlo	15	3	7	5	-6	16
13	Groningen	14	4	3	7	-2	15
14	Willem II	15	4	3	8	-10	15
15	NAC Breda	15	3	4	8	-15	13
16	Sparta Rotterdam	14	2	5	7	-12	11
17	Twente	14	3	1	10	-9	10
18	Roda	14	3	1	10	-17	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	Heracles	8	5	2	1	+5	17
3	Zwolle	7	5	1	1	+7	16
4	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	0	2	+3	15
5	Ajax	6	4	0	2	+11	12
6	Groningen	8	3	3	2	+1	12
7	Feyenoord	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Twente	7	3	1	3	+1	10
9	Utrecht	5	3	1	1	+0	10
10	Willem II	8	2	2	4	-1	8
11	Sparta Rotterdam	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Den Haag	8	2	2	4	-4	8
13	Roda	6	2	1	3	-3	7
14	NAC Breda	7	2	1	4	-11	7
15	VVV Venlo	8	1	3	4	-6	6
16	Vitesse	5	1	2	2	+0	5
17	Heerenveen	7	1	2	4	-8	5
18	Excelsior	7	1	1	5	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	6	0	1	+14	18
2	Ajax	8	5	2	1	+18	17
3	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	1	1	+6	16
4	Feyenoord	7	4	2	1	+8	14
5	Heerenveen	7	4	2	1	+6	14
6	Vitesse	7	4	1	2	+7	13
7	Excelsior	7	4	1	2	+2	13
8	VVV Venlo	7	2	4	1	+0	10
9	Zwolle	7	2	4	1	+0	10
10	Utrecht	7	3	1	3	-2	10
11	Den Haag	5	3	0	2	+0	9
12	Willem II	7	2	1	4	-9	7
13	NAC Breda	8	1	3	4	-4	6
14	Groningen	6	1	0	5	-3	3
15	Sparta Rotterdam	7	0	3	4	-9	3
16	Roda	8	1	0	7	-14	3
17	Heracles	6	0	1	5	-10	1
18	Twente	7	0	0	7	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.