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Eredivisie

Referee: Bernie Raymond Blom

Ajax

S T S S U

3–0

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajax PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,2

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

5,3

3,5

Scored

4,0

2,5

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,7

+1,5

This season — Eredivisie · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 79%

64%

93%

Points per game

2,1

2,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

86%

64%

Both score Ø 57%

64%

50%

Average goals

4,1

3,9

Scored

3,1

2,9

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,1

+1,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

11 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

8 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajax 3. · PSV Eindhoven 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	14	13	0	1	+27	39
2	AZ Alkmaar	15	11	1	3	+14	34
3	Ajax	14	9	2	3	+29	29
4	Zwolle	15	8	5	2	+8	29
5	Feyenoord	14	7	4	3	+10	25
6	Utrecht	12	6	2	4	-2	20
7	Den Haag	14	6	2	6	-3	20
8	Heerenveen	14	5	4	5	-2	19
9	Vitesse	12	5	3	4	+7	18
10	Heracles	15	5	3	7	-10	18
11	Excelsior	15	5	2	8	-6	17
12	Groningen	15	4	4	7	-2	16
13	VVV Venlo	15	3	7	5	-6	16
14	Willem II	15	4	3	8	-10	15
15	NAC Breda	15	3	4	8	-15	13
16	Sparta Rotterdam	14	2	5	7	-12	11
17	Roda	15	3	2	10	-17	11
18	Twente	15	3	1	11	-10	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+13	21
2	AZ Alkmaar	8	6	0	2	+8	18
3	Heracles	8	5	2	1	+5	17
4	Zwolle	7	5	1	1	+7	16
5	Ajax	6	4	0	2	+11	12
6	Groningen	8	3	3	2	+1	12
7	Feyenoord	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Twente	8	3	1	4	+0	10
9	Utrecht	5	3	1	1	+0	10
10	Willem II	8	2	2	4	-1	8
11	Roda	7	2	2	3	-3	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	2	2	3	-3	8
13	Den Haag	8	2	2	4	-4	8
14	NAC Breda	7	2	1	4	-11	7
15	VVV Venlo	8	1	3	4	-6	6
16	Vitesse	5	1	2	2	+0	5
17	Heerenveen	7	1	2	4	-8	5
18	Excelsior	8	1	1	6	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	7	6	0	1	+14	18
2	Ajax	8	5	2	1	+18	17
3	AZ Alkmaar	7	5	1	1	+6	16
4	Feyenoord	7	4	2	1	+8	14
5	Heerenveen	7	4	2	1	+6	14
6	Vitesse	7	4	1	2	+7	13
7	Excelsior	7	4	1	2	+2	13
8	Zwolle	8	3	4	1	+1	13
9	Den Haag	6	4	0	2	+1	12
10	VVV Venlo	7	2	4	1	+0	10
11	Utrecht	7	3	1	3	-2	10
12	Willem II	7	2	1	4	-9	7
13	NAC Breda	8	1	3	4	-4	6
14	Groningen	7	1	1	5	-3	4
15	Sparta Rotterdam	7	0	3	4	-9	3
16	Roda	8	1	0	7	-14	3
17	Heracles	7	0	1	6	-15	1
18	Twente	7	0	0	7	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.