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Eredivisie

Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk

Heerenveen

U U S T U

2–1

Full-time

Sparta Rotterdam

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heerenveen Sparta Rotterdam

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,7

3,8

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,5

3,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-2,5

This season — Eredivisie · 18/19 matches

Win Ø 22%

33%

11%

Points per game

1,3

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

67%

58%

Both score Ø 57%

67%

47%

Average goals

2,9

Scored

1,4

0,8

Conceded

1,6

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

62% Possession 38%

14 Shots 12

8 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heerenveen 9. · Sparta Rotterdam 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	19	16	1	2	+29	49
2	Ajax	19	14	2	3	+39	44
3	AZ Alkmaar	19	12	3	4	+15	39
4	Zwolle	19	10	6	3	+6	36
5	Feyenoord	19	9	6	4	+19	33
6	Den Haag	18	8	3	7	-1	27
7	Utrecht	17	7	5	5	-3	26
8	Vitesse	17	6	6	5	+7	24
9	Heerenveen	18	6	6	6	-3	24
10	Excelsior	19	7	3	9	-5	24
11	VVV Venlo	19	5	8	6	-4	23
12	Heracles	19	6	4	9	-12	22
13	Groningen	19	5	6	8	+0	21
14	Willem II	19	4	5	10	-13	17
15	Twente	19	4	4	11	-9	16
16	NAC Breda	19	4	4	11	-16	16
17	Roda	19	3	3	13	-23	12
18	Sparta Rotterdam	19	2	5	12	-26	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	9	0	0	+17	27
2	Ajax	10	8	0	2	+20	24
3	AZ Alkmaar	10	7	0	3	+9	21
4	Zwolle	9	6	2	1	+8	20
5	Heracles	10	6	2	2	+5	20
6	Groningen	10	4	4	2	+5	16
7	Feyenoord	9	4	3	2	+6	15
8	Den Haag	11	4	3	4	+1	15
9	Utrecht	8	3	4	1	+0	13
10	Twente	9	3	2	4	+0	11
11	NAC Breda	9	3	1	5	-10	10
12	Willem II	10	2	3	5	-2	9
13	Roda	9	2	3	4	-4	9
14	VVV Venlo	10	2	3	5	-5	9
15	Excelsior	10	2	2	6	-6	8
16	Heerenveen	8	2	2	4	-7	8
17	Sparta Rotterdam	10	2	2	6	-12	8
18	Vitesse	7	1	4	2	+0	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	10	7	1	2	+12	22
2	Ajax	9	6	2	1	+19	20
3	Feyenoord	10	5	3	2	+13	18
4	AZ Alkmaar	9	5	3	1	+6	18
5	Vitesse	10	5	2	3	+7	17
6	Heerenveen	10	4	4	2	+4	16
7	Excelsior	9	5	1	3	+1	16
8	Zwolle	10	4	4	2	-2	16
9	VVV Venlo	9	3	5	1	+1	14
10	Utrecht	9	4	1	4	-3	13
11	Den Haag	7	4	0	3	-2	12
12	Willem II	9	2	2	5	-11	8
13	NAC Breda	10	1	3	6	-6	6
14	Groningen	9	1	2	6	-5	5
15	Twente	10	1	2	7	-9	5
16	Sparta Rotterdam	9	0	3	6	-14	3
17	Roda	10	1	0	9	-19	3
18	Heracles	9	0	2	7	-17	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.