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Pro League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
Mechelen
T T T T T
0–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
0,2
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 24%
17%
30%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
35%
57%
Both score Ø 54%
43%
65%
Average goals
2,6
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

42% Possession 58%
12 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 16. · Royal Excel Mouscron 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 17 14 2 1 +26 44
2 Antwerp 23 9 9 5 +6 36
3 Anderlecht 14 10 3 1 +13 33
4 St Truiden 23 8 8 7 -5 32
5 Charleroi 15 9 4 2 +14 31
6 Beveren 23 8 5 10 +2 29
7 Kortrijk 23 8 5 10 -4 29
8 Gent 15 8 3 4 +13 27
9 Waregem 23 8 2 13 -6 26
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 23 7 5 11 -12 26
11 Oostende 23 7 4 12 -2 25
12 Lokeren 23 6 6 11 -11 24
13 Genk 15 5 7 3 +3 22
14 Standard 16 5 6 5 -1 21
15 Eupen 23 4 7 12 -18 19
16 Mechelen 23 4 6 13 -18 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Royal Excel Mouscron
6′
🟨 Mergim Vojvoda
Uros Vitas 🟨
22′
38′
D. Mohamed 0–1
F. Olinga
Half-time 0–2
47′
D. Rotariu 0–2
O. Govea
E. Cobbaut 🔁
↦ G. Mera
55′
N. Verdier 🔁
↦ D. Kolovos
55′
59′
🟨 Fabrice Olinga
R. Schoofs 🔁
↦ Y. Sylla
60′
71′
🔁 T. Mézague
↦ F. Olinga
79′
🔁 J. Bolingi
↦ A. Nkaka
80′
🟨 Jeremy Huyghebaert
89′
🔁 N. Gulan
↦ T. Awoniyi
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-4-2
26 C. Coosemans G
15 E. Cocalić D
5 U. Vitas D
6 G. Mera D
29 J. Van Cleemput D
21 C. Tainmont M
11 M. Rits M
40 Y. Sylla M
10 D. Kolovos M
9 N. Pedersen F
27 H. Bandé F
Bench (9)
22 E. Cobbaut
99 N. Verdier
16 R. Schoofs
19 F. Bećiraj
3 A. El Messaoudi
28 F. Camus
47 A. Kawaya
49 A. Moris
77 G. Claes

Coach: D. van Wijk

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-4-1-1
1 O. Werner G
28 J. Huyghebaert D
31 B. Godeau D
3 N. De Medina
27 M. Vojvoda D
26 A. Nkaka D
11 D. Mohamed F
7 F. Olinga F
95 D. Rotariu F
6 O. Govea M
18 T. Awoniyi F
Bench (7)
4 T. Mézague
10 J. Bolingi
24 N. Gulan
8 M. Aidara
25 C. Diedhiou
30 B. Van Durmen
33 J. Butez

Coach: M. Rednic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.