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Eredivisie
Referee: Ed Peter Janssen
Feyenoord
U S T S T
1–0
Full-time
Heracles
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Heracles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,2
This season — Eredivisie · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 39%
48%
30%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
48%
78%
Both score Ø 66%
48%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,6
Scored
2,0
1,4
Conceded
1,0
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
15 Shots 16
7 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 6
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 4. · Heracles 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 24 20 2 2 +37 62
2 Ajax 23 17 3 3 +44 54
3 AZ Alkmaar 24 15 5 4 +23 50
4 Feyenoord 23 11 6 6 +21 39
5 Zwolle 23 11 6 6 +1 39
6 Utrecht 22 10 7 5 +2 37
7 Vitesse 21 9 6 6 +11 33
8 Heerenveen 23 8 8 7 -2 32
9 Den Haag 22 9 5 8 -2 32
10 VVV Venlo 24 7 10 7 -5 31
11 Excelsior 24 8 5 11 -6 29
12 Heracles 23 7 6 10 -16 27
13 Groningen 24 5 9 10 -5 24
14 Willem II 24 5 5 14 -15 20
15 NAC Breda 24 5 5 14 -16 20
16 Roda 24 4 5 15 -27 17
17 Twente 23 4 4 15 -17 16
18 Sparta Rotterdam 23 3 5 15 -28 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Heracles
17′
🟨 Roland Baas
Kevin Diks 🟨
22′
Half-time 0–0
Bart Nieuwkoop 🟨
50′
1–0 R. van Persie
T. Vilhena
59′
68′
🔁 W. Droste
↦ D. Wuytens
68′
🔁 M. Osman
↦ P. van Ooijen
J. Toornstra 🔁
↦ R. van Persie
73′
83′
🔁 P. Gladon
↦ S. Jakubiak
S. Amrabat 🔁
↦ K. El Ahmadi
85′
Eric Botteghin 🔁
↦ J. Boëtius
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-3-3
25 B. Jones G
6 J. van der Heijden D
2 B. Nieuwkoop D
3 S. van Beek D
17 K. Diks D
8 K. El Ahmadi M
10 T. Vilhena M
32 R. van Persie F
9 N. Jørgensen F
19 S. Berghuis F
7 J. Boëtius F
Bench (8)
28 J. Toornstra
21 S. Amrabat
33 Eric Botteghin
20 R. Tapia
22 J. Bijlow
30 R. ten Hove
34 D. Vente
36 E. Hansson

Coach: G. van Bronckhorst

Heracles

4-3-3
1 B. Castro G
2 T. Breukers D
3 D. Wuytens D
4 R. Pröpper D
22 R. Baas D
21 S. Jakubiak M
20 P. van Ooijen M
35 Jamiro M
18 K. Peterson F
17 B. Kuwas F
19 V. Vermeij F
Bench (9)
12 W. Droste
14 M. Osman
9 P. Gladon
7 B. Darri
15 J. Navrátil
26 H. Zeinstra
28 M. Brouwer
29 R. Niemeijer
30 T. van de Berg

Coach: J. Stegeman

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ed Peter Janssen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.