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Eredivisie
Referee: Ed Peter Janssen
Heracles
T T S U T
1–2
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
2,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 78%
83%
72%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,9
Scored
1,4
2,7
Conceded
2,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
15 Shots 32
5 Shots on target 14
4 Blocked shots 6
12 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 10
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 12. · PSV Eindhoven 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 18 15 1 2 +28 46
2 Ajax 19 14 2 3 +39 44
3 AZ Alkmaar 19 12 3 4 +15 39
4 Zwolle 19 10 6 3 +6 36
5 Feyenoord 18 9 5 4 +19 32
6 Den Haag 18 8 3 7 -1 27
7 Utrecht 16 7 4 5 -3 25
8 Vitesse 17 6 6 5 +7 24
9 Heerenveen 18 6 6 6 -3 24
10 Excelsior 19 7 3 9 -5 24
11 VVV Venlo 19 5 8 6 -4 23
12 Heracles 18 6 4 8 -11 22
13 Groningen 19 5 6 8 +0 21
14 Willem II 19 4 5 10 -13 17
15 Twente 19 4 4 11 -9 16
16 NAC Breda 19 4 4 11 -16 16
17 Roda 19 3 3 13 -23 12
18 Sparta Rotterdam 19 2 5 12 -26 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles PSV Eindhoven
Half-time 0–1
46′
S. Bergwijn 0–1
L. de Jong
58′
🟨 Hirving Lozano
P. van Ooijen 🔁
↦ R. Niemeijer
58′
65′
🟨 Santiago Arias
1–1 J. Hardeveld
66′
74′
🔁 G. Pereiro
↦ Mauro Júnior
83′
🔁 Albert Gudmundsson
↦ S. Bergwijn
P. Gladon 🔁
↦ V. Vermeij
86′
93′
L. de Jong 1–2
Albert Gudmundsson
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Heracles

4-3-3
1 B. Castro G
2 T. Breukers D
3 D. Wuytens D
4 R. Pröpper D
34 J. Hardeveld D
21 S. Jakubiak M
35 Jamiro M
29 R. Niemeijer M
7 B. Darri F
18 K. Peterson F
19 V. Vermeij F
Bench (9)
20 P. van Ooijen
9 P. Gladon
23 K. Huisman
28 M. Brouwer
15 J. Navrátil
30 T. van de Berg
22 R. Baas
26 H. Zeinstra
25 Z. Erkilinc

Coach: J. Stegeman

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
5 D. Schwaab D
4 S. Arias D
2 N. Isimat-Mirin D
20 J. Brenet D
8 J. Hendrix M
23 B. Ramselaar M
47 Mauro Júnior M
9 L. de Jong F
17 S. Bergwijn F
11 H. Lozano F
Bench (10)
7 G. Pereiro
29 Albert Gudmundsson
31 Y. van Osch
32 K. Paal
3 D. Luckassen
35 D. Malen
18 P. Rosario
14 S. Lammers
13 E. Room
50 A. Obispo

Coach: P. Cocu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ed Peter Janssen · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.