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Eredivisie
Referee: Paulus van Boekel
Twente
U T T T T
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Twente Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,3
Scored
0,3
0,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 15%
17%
13%
Points per game
0,7
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
61%
57%
Both score Ø 50%
52%
48%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,9
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
25 Shots 2
8 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
11 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Twente 17. · Sparta Rotterdam 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 24 20 2 2 +37 62
2 Ajax 23 17 3 3 +44 54
3 AZ Alkmaar 24 15 5 4 +23 50
4 Feyenoord 23 11 6 6 +21 39
5 Zwolle 23 11 6 6 +1 39
6 Utrecht 22 10 7 5 +2 37
7 Vitesse 21 9 6 6 +11 33
8 Heerenveen 23 8 8 7 -2 32
9 Den Haag 22 9 5 8 -2 32
10 VVV Venlo 24 7 10 7 -5 31
11 Excelsior 24 8 5 11 -6 29
12 Heracles 23 7 6 10 -16 27
13 Groningen 24 5 9 10 -5 24
14 Willem II 24 5 5 14 -15 20
15 NAC Breda 24 5 5 14 -16 20
16 Roda 24 4 5 15 -27 17
17 Twente 23 4 4 15 -17 16
18 Sparta Rotterdam 23 3 5 15 -28 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Twente Sparta Rotterdam
28′
🟨 Kenneth Dougall
30′
🟨 Sander Fischer
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 S. Floranus
↦ L. Brogno
46′
🔁 M. Kramer
↦ D. dos Santos
62′
F. Friday 0–1
M. Kramer
D. Holla 🔁
↦ A. Tighadouini
63′
M. Maria 🔁
↦ C. Cuevas
68′
J. Hooiveld 🔁
↦ F. Jensen
78′
84′
🔁 B. Vriends
↦ J. Chabot
1–1 H. Vučkič
85′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Twente

5-3-2
16 J. Drommel G
15 C. Cuevas D
3 T. Lam D
25 P. Bijen D
2 H. ter Avest D
10 H. Vučkič M
20 A. Maher M
34 A. Tighadouini F
14 R. Jensen D
19 F. Jensen M
9 T. Boere F
Bench (8)
21 D. Holla
6 M. Maria
4 J. Hooiveld
11 A. Laukart
18 M. Liendl
26 J. Brondeel
27 L. Slagveer
28 J. van der Lely

Coach: G. Verbeek

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-3
1 J. Huth G
3 S. Fischer D
5 M. Nelom D
2 F. Holst D
4 J. Chabot D
10 P. van Moorsel M
8 R. Sanusi M
6 K. Dougall M
7 L. Brogno F
11 D. dos Santos F
9 F. Friday F
Bench (11)
13 S. Floranus
19 M. Kramer
21 B. Vriends
20 L. Nienhuis
16 R. Mühren
14 A. Harroui
18 S. Ahannach
15 D. Duarte
17 I. Alhaft
12 M. Breuer
22 T. Verhaar

Coach: D. Advocaat

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Paulus van Boekel · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.