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Serie A
Referee: Claudio Gavillucci
Napoli
S S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Spal
T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Napoli Spal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,2
Scored
2,2
0,7
Conceded
0,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-1,8
This season — Serie A · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 48%
83%
13%
Points per game
2,6
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
58%
46%
Both score Ø 55%
46%
63%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
2,3
1,0
Conceded
0,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%
20 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Napoli 2. · Spal 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 25 21 2 2 +47 65
2 Napoli 24 20 3 1 +39 63
3 Roma 25 15 5 5 +21 50
4 Inter 25 13 9 3 +19 48
5 Lazio 24 14 4 6 +26 46
6 Sampdoria 24 12 5 7 +12 41
7 Milan 24 11 5 8 +4 38
8 Atalanta 24 10 7 7 +8 37
9 Torino 25 8 12 5 +5 36
10 Udinese 25 10 3 12 +0 33
11 Fiorentina 24 8 7 9 +2 31
12 Genoa 25 8 6 11 -4 30
13 Bologna 24 8 3 13 -8 27
14 Cagliari 25 7 4 14 -13 25
15 Chievo 25 6 7 12 -19 25
16 Sassuolo 24 6 5 13 -27 23
17 Crotone 24 5 6 13 -22 21
18 Spal 24 3 8 13 -23 17
19 Verona 24 4 4 16 -26 16
20 Benevento 24 2 1 21 -41 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Sep -17 Spal – Napoli 2–3

Match report

Napoli Spal
1–0 Allan
José Callejón
6′
40′
🟨 Jasmin Kurtić
Half-time 1–0
62′
🔁 F. Costa
↦ B. Dramé
Marek Hamšík 🟨
64′
P. Zieliński 🔁
↦ M. Hamšík
71′
75′
🔁 S. Floccari
↦ A. Grassi
77′
🟨 Felipe
82′
🔁 A. Paloschi
↦ M. Antenucci
83′
🟨 Filippo Costa
85′
🟨 Bartosz Salamon
M. Rog 🔁
↦ José Callejón
86′
A. Diawara 🔁
↦ Jorginho
91′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Napoli

4-3-3
25 Pepe Reina G
33 Albiol D
6 Mário Rui D
26 K. Koulibaly D
23 E. Hysaj D
17 M. Hamšík M
5 Allan M
8 Jorginho M
14 D. Mertens F
7 José Callejón F
24 L. Insigne F
Bench (9)
20 P. Zieliński
30 M. Rog
42 A. Diawara
1 Rafael
11 C. Maggio
22 L. Sepe
27 Z. Machach
37 A. Ounas
62 L. Tonelli

Coach: M. Sarri

Spal

3-5-1-1
97 A. Meret G
85 B. Dramé D
27 Felipe D
21 B. Salamon D
23 F. Vicari D
28 P. Schiattarella M
19 J. Kurtič M
77 F. Viviani M
88 A. Grassi M
29 M. Lazzari M
7 M. Antenucci F
Bench (11)
33 F. Costa
10 S. Floccari
43 A. Paloschi
1 A. Gomis
5 L. Šimić
9 F. Bonazzoli
15 S. Väisänen
18 E. Schiavon
24 M. Vitale
25 Everton Luiz
92 G. Marchegiani

Coach: L. Semplici

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Claudio Gavillucci · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.