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Eredivisie
Referee: Pol van Boekel
For Sittard
U
1–2
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
S U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

For Sittard PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
1,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
1,0
4,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+4,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

39% Possession 61%
10 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 8
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match For Sittard 12. · PSV Eindhoven 3. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 2 1 1 0 +1 4
2 AZ Alkmaar 1 1 0 0 +5 3
3 PSV Eindhoven 1 1 0 0 +4 3
4 Heerenveen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 FC Emmen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Willem II 2 1 0 1 +0 3
7 VVV Venlo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 De Graafschap 2 1 0 1 -1 3
9 NAC Breda 2 1 0 1 -2 3
10 Heracles 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Excelsior 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 For Sittard 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Zwolle 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Den Haag 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Groningen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Feyenoord 1 0 0 1 -2 0
17 Utrecht 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

For Sittard PSV Eindhoven
19′
🟨 Pablo Rosario
33′
⚽ H. Lozano 0–1
Half-time 0–1
André Vidigal 🔁
↦ G. Vlijter
46′
1–1 A. Novakovich ⚽
J. Smeets
61′
Mica 🟨
63′
66′
🔁 D. Malen
↦ H. Lozano
66′
🔁 D. Rigo
↦ P. Rosario
L. Hutten 🔁
↦ Lisandro Semedo
79′
F. Stokkers 🔁
↦ A. El Messaoudi
81′
83′
🔁 Mauro Júnior
↦ G. Pereiro
90′
⚽ D. Rigo 1–2
J. Hendrix
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

For Sittard

4-3-3
77 A. Koşelev G
4 K. Heerings D
23 Mica Pinto D
3 W. Dammers D
2 C. Essers D
10 M. Diemers M
8 A. El Messaoudi M
6 J. Smeets M
22 G. Vlijter F
14 Lisandro Semedo F
9 A. Novakovich F
Bench (9)
7 André Vidigal
25 L. Hutten
19 F. Stokkers
5 B. Ňinaj
1 A. Özer
13 M. Ospitalieri
17 A. Ciranni
27 R. Koot
28 L. Kojić

Coach: R. Eijer

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
5 D. Schwaab D
4 N. Viergever D
6 Angeliño D
22 D. Dumfries D
8 J. Hendrix M
7 G. Pereiro M
18 P. Rosario M
9 L. de Jong F
17 S. Bergwijn F
11 H. Lozano F
Bench (11)
14 D. Malen
16 D. Rigo
47 Mauro Júnior
33 J. Teze
2 N. Isimat-Mirin
13 E. Room
15 A. Obispo
19 C. Gakpo
20 T. Sainsbury
23 B. Ramselaar
31 Y. van Osch

Coach: M. van Bommel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Pol van Boekel · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.