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Eredivisie

Referee: Siemen Mulder

De Graafschap

T T U T U

5–1

Full-time

For Sittard

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

De Graafschap For Sittard

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

4,0

2,8

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

3,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

-3,0

-0,2

This season — Eredivisie · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 24%

18%

29%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

65%

71%

Both score Ø 53%

41%

65%

Average goals

3,4

3,5

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

2,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

50% Possession 50%

18 Shots 7

9 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 2

4 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 21

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match De Graafschap 18. · For Sittard 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	17	16	0	1	+52	48
2	Ajax	17	15	1	1	+52	46
3	Feyenoord	18	11	3	4	+13	36
4	AZ Alkmaar	18	8	4	6	+7	28
5	VVV Venlo	18	7	5	6	-1	26
6	Heracles	17	8	2	7	-3	26
7	Utrecht	16	7	4	5	+3	25
8	Vitesse	16	6	5	5	+2	23
9	Willem II	18	6	4	8	-6	22
10	For Sittard	17	5	5	7	-1	20
11	Heerenveen	17	5	5	7	-3	20
12	Den Haag	18	5	5	8	-13	20
13	Groningen	17	5	3	9	-3	18
14	Zwolle	18	5	3	10	-11	18
15	FC Emmen	17	4	5	8	-17	17
16	Excelsior	18	4	4	10	-23	16
17	NAC Breda	18	4	3	11	-19	15
18	De Graafschap	17	3	3	11	-29	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	9	9	0	0	+34	27
2	Feyenoord	9	8	0	1	+13	24
3	Ajax	8	7	1	0	+30	22
4	Heracles	8	6	0	2	+8	18
5	Utrecht	8	5	1	2	+9	16
6	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	3	2	+7	15
7	VVV Venlo	8	4	3	1	+7	15
8	Vitesse	7	4	2	1	+3	14
9	NAC Breda	9	4	1	4	-1	13
10	For Sittard	9	3	3	3	+2	12
11	Groningen	9	3	1	5	+2	10
12	De Graafschap	9	3	1	5	-6	10
13	Den Haag	9	2	3	4	-8	9
14	Excelsior	9	2	3	4	-10	9
15	Willem II	9	2	2	5	-4	8
16	Zwolle	10	2	2	6	-5	8
17	Heerenveen	8	1	3	4	-7	6
18	FC Emmen	9	1	3	5	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	9	8	0	1	+22	24
2	PSV Eindhoven	8	7	0	1	+18	21
3	Heerenveen	9	4	2	3	+4	14
4	Willem II	9	4	2	3	-2	14
5	AZ Alkmaar	9	4	1	4	+0	13
6	Feyenoord	9	3	3	3	+0	12
7	Den Haag	9	3	2	4	-5	11
8	VVV Venlo	10	3	2	5	-8	11
9	FC Emmen	8	3	2	3	-9	11
10	Zwolle	8	3	1	4	-6	10
11	Vitesse	9	2	3	4	-1	9
12	Utrecht	8	2	3	3	-6	9
13	For Sittard	8	2	2	4	-3	8
14	Groningen	8	2	2	4	-5	8
15	Heracles	9	2	2	5	-11	8
16	Excelsior	9	2	1	6	-13	7
17	NAC Breda	9	0	2	7	-18	2
18	De Graafschap	8	0	2	6	-23	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.