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Eredivisie
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
PSV Eindhoven
U S S S S
4–0
Full-time
Zwolle
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 68%
85%
50%
Points per game
2,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
70%
45%
Both score Ø 53%
50%
55%
Average goals
3,8
2,6
Scored
2,7
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
27 Shots 3
12 Shots on target 1
5 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 8
7 Corners 1
5 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 1. · Zwolle 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 20 17 1 2 +31 52
2 Ajax 20 14 3 3 +39 45
3 AZ Alkmaar 20 13 3 4 +17 42
4 Feyenoord 20 10 6 4 +21 36
5 Zwolle 20 10 6 4 +5 36
6 Vitesse 19 8 6 5 +10 30
7 Heerenveen 20 8 6 6 -1 30
8 Den Haag 19 8 3 8 -3 27
9 Utrecht 18 7 6 5 -3 27
10 VVV Venlo 20 6 8 6 -3 26
11 Excelsior 20 7 3 10 -6 24
12 Heracles 20 6 5 9 -12 23
13 Groningen 21 5 7 9 -2 22
14 Willem II 20 4 5 11 -15 17
15 Twente 21 4 4 13 -12 16
16 NAC Breda 20 4 4 12 -17 16
17 Roda 20 4 3 13 -22 15
18 Sparta Rotterdam 20 2 5 13 -27 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PSV Eindhoven Zwolle
Marco van Ginkel 🟨
20′
30′
🔁 T. Ondaan
↦ R. Dekker
39′
🟨 Nicolas Freire
42′
🟥 Mickey van der Hart
43′
🔁 M. Hauptmeijer
↦ T. Ondaan
Half-time 1–0
1–0 L. de Jong
H. Lozano
48′
2–0 L. de Jong
H. Lozano
65′
Mauro Júnior 🔁
↦ M. van Ginkel
70′
3–0 L. de Jong
J. Brenet
72′
73′
🔁 Q. Menig
↦ W. Marinus
Albert Gudmundsson 🔁
↦ S. Bergwijn
77′
4–0 J. Brenet
Albert Gudmundsson
78′
D. Malen 🔁
↦ L. de Jong
82′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
5 D. Schwaab D
4 S. Arias D
2 N. Isimat-Mirin D
20 J. Brenet D
10 M. van Ginkel M
8 J. Hendrix M
23 B. Ramselaar M
9 L. de Jong F
17 S. Bergwijn F
11 H. Lozano F
Bench (12)
47 Mauro Júnior
29 Albert Gudmundsson
35 D. Malen
16 D. Rigo
31 Y. van Osch
32 K. Paal
3 D. Luckassen
13 E. Room
18 P. Rosario
14 S. Lammers
50 A. Obispo
7 G. Pereiro

Coach: P. Cocu

Zwolle

4-3-3
16 M. van der Hart G
4 D. Marcellis D
3 N. Freire D
13 P. Sandler D
23 E. Bakker M
8 W. Marinus M
21 Y. Namli F
19 R. Dekker M
10 S. Nijland M
7 Y. Mokhtar F
20 K. Ehizibue D
Bench (9)
11 T. Ondaan
40 M. Hauptmeijer
17 Q. Menig
9 P. Parzyszek
25 K. Reimink
14 E. Israelsson
28 R. Benschop
35 S. Woudstra
33 S. van den Berg

Coach: J. van 't Schip

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Serdar Gozubuyuk · 131 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.