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Eredivisie
Referee: Danny Desmond Makkelie
Zwolle
S S U T T
0–0
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
3,7
Scored
1,7
3,0
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,3
This season — Eredivisie · 23/24 matches
Win Ø 42%
30%
54%
Points per game
1,1
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
48%
75%
Both score Ø 47%
43%
50%
Average goals
2,9
3,4
Scored
1,2
2,1
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 6
11 Free kicks against 12
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 15. · AZ Alkmaar 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 25 20 4 1 +62 64
2 Ajax 23 18 2 3 +62 56
3 Feyenoord 24 14 4 6 +23 46
4 AZ Alkmaar 24 13 4 7 +21 43
5 Heracles 22 11 2 9 +1 35
6 Vitesse 21 9 6 6 +8 33
7 Heerenveen 25 8 9 8 +0 33
8 VVV Venlo 25 9 5 11 -11 32
9 Utrecht 22 8 7 7 +2 31
10 Willem II 25 9 4 12 -8 31
11 Groningen 23 8 5 10 -1 29
12 Den Haag 25 7 7 11 -16 28
13 For Sittard 24 7 5 12 -16 26
14 Excelsior 25 7 5 13 -25 26
15 Zwolle 23 7 4 12 -12 25
16 FC Emmen 24 6 6 12 -28 24
17 De Graafschap 25 6 4 15 -27 22
18 NAC Breda 25 4 5 16 -35 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle AZ Alkmaar
Half-time 0–0
V. van Crooij 🔁
↦ S. Elbers
67′
Z. Flemming 🔁
↦ L. Thy
73′
C. Leemans 🔁
↦ M. van Duinen
88′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
16 M. van der Hart G
29 D. Lachman D
3 T. Lam D
5 K. Paal D
20 K. Ehizibue D
21 Y. Namli F
6 G. Hamer M
10 L. Thy F
9 M. van Duinen F
25 S. Elbers F
22 P. Clement M
Bench (10)
7 V. van Crooij
14 Z. Flemming
8 C. Leemans
23 D. Bouzanis
33 S. van den Berg
34 O. Bouy
4 Y. Nakayama
17 D. Genreau
19 R. Dekker
1 D. Boer

Coach: J. Stam

AZ Alkmaar

4-3-3
1 M. Bizot G
4 R. Vlaar D
2 J. Svensson D
5 T. Ouwejan D
26 A. Maher M
6 F. Midtsjø M
20 M. Seuntjens F
8 T. Koopmeiners M
10 G. Til M
11 O. Idrissi F
7 C. Stengs F
Bench (10)
34 R. van Rhijn
12 P. Hatzidiakos
9 B. Johnsen
15 O. Wijndal
30 S. Wuytens
28 A. Gudmundsson
23 L. Bergsma
22 P. Velthuizen
25 J. Schendelaar
17 J. Helmer

Coach: J. van den Brom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Danny Desmond Makkelie · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.