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Eredivisie
Referee: Bjorn Kuipers
Zwolle
T T T T T
1–2
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zwolle PSV Eindhoven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
0,5
2,3
Conceded
2,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+1,3
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,5
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
2,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
18 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zwolle 18. · PSV Eindhoven 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 3 2 1 0 +6 7
2 AZ Alkmaar 2 2 0 0 +8 6
3 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Heracles 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Heerenveen 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Feyenoord 2 1 0 1 +1 3
7 Willem II 2 1 0 1 +0 3
8 VVV Venlo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
9 Groningen 2 1 0 1 +0 3
10 Den Haag 3 1 0 2 -1 3
11 NAC Breda 2 1 0 1 -2 3
12 Utrecht 2 1 0 1 -2 3
13 De Graafschap 3 1 0 2 -2 3
14 FC Emmen 3 1 0 2 -7 3
15 Vitesse 1 0 1 0 +0 1
16 For Sittard 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 Excelsior 2 0 1 1 -3 1
18 Zwolle 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Zwolle PSV Eindhoven
Kingsley Ehizibue 🟨
40′
41′
L. de Jong 0–1
H. Lozano
Half-time 1–1
1–1 V. van Crooij
D. Genreau
48′
K. Paal 🔁
↦ B. van Polen
52′
56′
🟨 Denzel Dumfries
Z. Flemming 🔁
↦ D. Genreau
65′
66′
🔁 Mauro Júnior
↦ G. Pereiro
75′
🔁 J. Teze
↦ D. Dumfries
81′
🔁 D. Malen
↦ D. Rigo
G. Hamer 🔁
↦ R. Dekker
82′
90′
🟨 Nick Viergever
93′
L. de Jong 1–2
D. Malen
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Zwolle

4-3-3
16 M. van der Hart G
2 B. van Polen D
29 D. Lachman D
20 K. Ehizibue D
33 S. van den Berg D
8 C. Leemans M
21 Y. Namli F
19 R. Dekker M
17 D. Genreau M
9 M. van Duinen F
7 V. van Crooij F
Bench (9)
5 K. Paal
14 Z. Flemming
6 G. Hamer
40 M. Hauptmeijer
34 O. Bouy
25 S. Elbers
22 T. van den Belt
15 R. Ligeon
11 T. Ondaan

Coach: J. van 't Schip

PSV Eindhoven

4-3-3
1 J. Zoet G
5 D. Schwaab D
4 N. Viergever D
6 Angeliño D
22 D. Dumfries D
8 J. Hendrix M
7 G. Pereiro M
16 D. Rigo M
9 L. de Jong F
17 S. Bergwijn F
11 H. Lozano F
Bench (9)
47 Mauro Júnior
33 J. Teze
14 D. Malen
31 Y. van Osch
13 E. Room
32 M. Sadílek
19 C. Gakpo
2 N. Isimat-Mirin
23 B. Ramselaar

Coach: M. van Bommel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bjorn Kuipers · 97 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.