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Eredivisie
Referee: Siemen Mulder
Excelsior
T S U T T
0–2
Full-time
Zwolle
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Excelsior Zwolle
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
This season — Eredivisie · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 28%
28%
28%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
64%
48%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
3,6
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
2,3
1,6
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
6 Shots 20
1 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 11
0 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Excelsior 15. · Zwolle 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 26 21 4 1 +63 67
2 Ajax 26 20 2 4 +66 62
3 Feyenoord 26 14 5 7 +22 47
4 AZ Alkmaar 26 14 5 7 +22 47
5 Heracles 24 12 3 9 +2 39
6 Vitesse 23 9 7 7 +7 34
7 Utrecht 23 9 7 7 +6 34
8 Willem II 26 10 4 12 -7 34
9 Heerenveen 26 8 9 9 -3 33
10 Groningen 24 9 5 10 +0 32
11 VVV Venlo 26 9 5 12 -12 32
12 For Sittard 26 8 5 13 -18 29
13 Den Haag 26 7 7 12 -17 28
14 Zwolle 25 7 5 13 -13 26
15 Excelsior 25 7 5 13 -25 26
16 De Graafschap 26 7 4 15 -24 25
17 FC Emmen 26 6 7 13 -30 25
18 NAC Breda 26 4 5 17 -39 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Excelsior Zwolle
12′
🟨 Gustavo Hamer
44′
🟨 Bram Van Polen
Half-time 0–0
D. Eckert 🔁
↦ M. Anderson
66′
66′
🔁 S. Elbers
↦ M. van Duinen
M. El Hamdaoui 🔁
↦ E. Ómarsson
73′
77′
🔁 Z. Flemming
↦ L. Thy
82′
K. Ehizibue 0–1
T. Lam
84′
Y. Namli 0–2
87′
🔁 O. Bouy
↦ P. Clement
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Excelsior

4-3-3
1 A. Damen G
28 L. Burnet D
15 J. Mattheij D
4 T. Oude Kotte D
10 L. Bruins F
8 R. Koolwijk M
22 Jeffry Fortes D
18 M. Edwards F
19 M. Anderson M
6 J. Schouten M
9 E. Ómarsson F
Bench (11)
11 D. Eckert
34 M. El Hamdaoui
2 S. Horemans
3 H. Matthys
7 A. Hadouir
14 A. Messaoud
20 S. Stevens
23 M. de Fockert
21 D. Haspolat
24 D. Mahmudov
17 D. Payne

Coach: A. Poldervaart

Zwolle

4-3-3
16 M. van der Hart G
2 B. van Polen D
29 D. Lachman D
3 T. Lam D
5 K. Paal D
20 K. Ehizibue D
21 Y. Namli F
6 G. Hamer M
10 L. Thy F
9 M. van Duinen F
22 P. Clement M
Bench (9)
25 S. Elbers
14 Z. Flemming
34 O. Bouy
19 R. Dekker
23 D. Bouzanis
8 C. Leemans
4 Y. Nakayama
1 D. Boer
33 S. van den Berg

Coach: J. Stam

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Siemen Mulder · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
19,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.