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Eredivisie
Referee: E van de Graaf
Almere City
S T T S U
1–1
Full-time
VVV Venlo
S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almere City VVV Venlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,8
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
45 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 5
16 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
16 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 34 25 7 2 +51 82
2 PSV Eindhoven 34 23 6 5 +49 75
3 Ajax 34 20 9 5 +48 69
4 AZ Alkmaar 34 20 7 7 +33 67
5 Twente 31 19 7 5 +41 64
6 Sparta Rotterdam 31 18 6 7 +29 60
7 Utrecht 33 13 9 11 -1 48
8 Heerenveen 33 11 9 13 -8 42
9 Waalwijk 34 11 8 15 -14 41
10 Vitesse 34 10 10 14 -5 40
11 Go Ahead Eagles 34 10 10 14 -10 40
12 Nijmegen 34 8 15 11 -3 39
13 For Sittard 34 10 6 18 -23 36
14 Volendam 34 10 6 18 -29 36
15 Excelsior 34 9 5 20 -39 32
16 FC Emmen 35 7 10 18 -31 31
17 Cambuur 34 5 4 25 -43 19
18 Groningen 34 4 6 24 -44 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Almere City VVV Venlo
Lance Duijvestijn 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 S. Allouch
↦ D. Huisman
1–0 L. Duijvestijn ⚽
50′
Hamdi Akujobi 🟨
55′
57′
🔁 C. Johansson
↦ R. Klaasen
62′
🟨 Soulyman Allouch
62′
⚽ S. Allouch 1–1
K. de Boer
I. Alhaft 🔁
↦ Pascu
65′
S. Resink 🔁
↦ J. Smeets
75′
R. van La Parra 🔁
↦ A. Limbombe
75′
82′
🟨 Carl Johansson
88′
🔁 Ö. Yaşar
↦ S. Braken
Theo Barbet 🟨
89′
T. Poll 🔁
↦ T. Barbet
92′
93′
🔁 R. Lathouwers
↦ T. Dekker
105′
🔁 K. Kristinsson
↦ C. Johansson
Damian van Bruggen 🟨
109′
113′
🟨 Rick Ketting
J. Ritmeester van de Kamp 🔁
↦ J. Hilterman
120′
R. van La Parra ❌
penalty missed
121′
122′
❌ N. Venema
penalty missed
I. Alhaft ❌
penalty missed
123′
124′
❌ S. Allouch
penalty missed
2–1 L. Duijvestijn ⚽
125′
126′
❌ B. Koglin
penalty missed
3–1 Álvaro Peña ⚽
127′
128′
❌ K. de Boer
penalty missed
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Almere City

4-2-3-1
1 N. Bakker G
20 H. Akujobi D
3 J. Jacobs D
4 D. van Bruggen D
22 T. Barbet D
18 Álvaro Peña M
25 J. Smeets M
14 Pascu M
10 L. Duijvestijn M
7 A. Limbombe M
9 J. Hilterman F
Bench (12)
11 I. Alhaft
28 S. Resink
27 R. van La Parra
5 T. Poll
39 J. Ritmeester van de Kamp
36 M. Esajas
35 T. Noslin
26 S. Keller
37 L. Kromah
32 J. Puriël
40 A. Etemadi
46 J. Guiting

Coach: A. Pastoor

VVV Venlo

4-4-2
1 E. van der Gouw G
17 T. Dekker D
4 R. Ketting D
2 B. Koglin D
5 S. Janssen D
8 K. de Boer M
6 M. van Rooijen M
16 R. Klaasen M
23 D. Huisman M
10 N. Venema F
9 S. Braken F
Bench (12)
34 S. Allouch
7 C. Johansson
29 Ö. Yaşar
18 R. Lathouwers
21 K. Kristinsson
3 S. Dirks
30 J. Craenmehr
38 L. Zima
12 J. Kluskens
24 B. Bartu
33 M. Thier
25 S. Henderikx

Coach: R. Kruijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
U2,5 ✓
–
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

E van de Graaf · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.