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Eredivisie
Referee: I Oostrom
Willem II
S U S T T
2–2
Full-time
VVV Venlo
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Willem II VVV Venlo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
4,5
Scored
1,7
1,8
Conceded
1,5
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
5,0
5,0
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
3,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
14 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 1
2 Offside 5
15 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 33 25 7 1 +52 82
2 PSV Eindhoven 33 22 6 5 +48 72
3 Ajax 33 20 9 4 +50 69
4 AZ Alkmaar 33 20 7 6 +34 67
5 Twente 29 17 7 5 +38 58
6 Sparta Rotterdam 29 16 6 7 +23 54
7 Utrecht 31 12 9 10 -1 45
8 Waalwijk 33 11 8 14 -10 41
9 Go Ahead Eagles 33 10 10 13 -8 40
10 Heerenveen 31 10 9 12 -9 39
11 Nijmegen 33 8 14 11 -3 38
12 Vitesse 33 9 10 14 -6 37
13 For Sittard 33 10 5 18 -23 35
14 Volendam 33 9 6 18 -30 33
15 Excelsior 33 9 5 19 -38 32
16 FC Emmen 33 6 10 17 -31 28
17 Groningen 33 4 6 23 -39 18
18 Cambuur 33 4 4 25 -47 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Willem II VVV Venlo
1–0 E. Kabangu
7′
Erik Schouten 🟨
10′
12′
🟨 Tristan Dekker
15′
🔁 D. Huisman
↦ L. Smans
2–0 J. Bosch
R. Meerveld
22′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 B. Koglin
↦ S. Dirks
53′
🔁 C. Johansson
↦ T. Dekker
Elton Kabangu ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
56′
J. Bokila 🔁
↦ J. Hornkamp
66′
67′
🟨 Kees de Boer
70′
🔁 S. Allouch
↦ R. Klaasen
Freek Heerkens 🟨
73′
74′
N. Venema 2–1
V. Vermeulen 🔁
↦ F. Heerkens
75′
Pol Llonch 🔁
↦ R. Meerveld
75′
Leeroy Owusu 🟨
76′
84′
🔁 Ö. Yaşar
↦ S. Braken
W. Spieringhs 🔁
↦ L. Woudenberg
86′
A. Lachkar 🔁
↦ L. Owusu
90′
105′
🔁 J. Kluskens
↦ D. Huisman
J. Schroijen 🔁
↦ N. van Berkel
116′
116′
🔁 K. Kristinsson
↦ C. Johansson
121′
Ö. Yaşar 2–2
N. Venema
122′
🟨 Özcan Yasar
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Willem II

5-3-2
21 J. Smits G
13 L. Owusu D
4 E. Schouten D
3 F. Heerkens D
25 L. Woudenberg D
44 N. van Berkel D
29 T. Oosting M
32 J. Bosch M
16 R. Meerveld M
9 J. Hornkamp F
7 E. Kabangu F
Bench (12)
18 J. Bokila
20 V. Vermeulen
8 Pol Llonch
22 W. Spieringhs
42 A. Lachkar
14 J. Schroijen
24 C. van den Berg
23 M. de Leeuw
27 D. Mathieu
1 K. Lamprou
11 M. Svensson
36 J. Pal

Coach: R. Robbemond

VVV Venlo

4-3-3
1 E. van der Gouw G
17 T. Dekker D
4 R. Ketting D
3 S. Dirks D
5 S. Janssen D
8 K. de Boer M
16 R. Klaasen M
6 M. van Rooijen M
10 N. Venema F
14 L. Smans F
9 S. Braken F
Bench (12)
23 D. Huisman
2 B. Koglin
7 C. Johansson
34 S. Allouch
29 Ö. Yaşar
12 J. Kluskens
21 K. Kristinsson
38 L. Zima
30 J. Craenmehr
27 M. Berden
25 S. Henderikx
18 R. Lathouwers

Coach: R. Kruijs

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Oostrom · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.