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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hugo Miguel
Guimaraes
T U U S U
0–1
Full-time
Sp Braga
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Sp Braga
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,4
This season — Primeira Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
20%
60%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%
11 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
11 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
0 Free kicks against 0
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guimaraes 15. · Sp Braga 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 6 4 2 0 +8 14
2 Sp Lisbon 6 4 2 0 +5 14
3 Benfica 6 4 0 2 +12 12
4 Estoril 6 4 0 2 -1 12
5 Sp Braga 5 3 0 2 +7 9
6 Arouca 6 2 3 1 +1 9
7 Rio Ave 5 2 2 1 +3 8
8 Maritimo 6 2 2 2 -1 8
9 Boavista 6 2 2 2 -2 8
10 Pacos Ferreira 6 2 2 2 -4 8
11 Vitoria Setubal 6 1 4 1 +1 7
12 Nacional 6 2 1 3 +0 7
13 Belenenses 6 1 4 1 -4 7
14 U. Madeira 6 1 3 2 -1 6
15 Guimaraes 5 1 3 1 -2 6
16 Tondela 6 1 0 5 -4 3
17 Moreirense 6 0 2 4 -7 2
18 Academica 5 0 0 5 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guimaraes Sp Braga
9′
🔁 W. Boly
↦ André Pinto
35′
🔁 Wilson Eduardo
↦ Baiano
Ricardo Valente 🟨
38′
45′
🟨 Mauro
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Nikola Stojiljković
Dalbert 🟨
48′
74′
Rafa Silva 0–1
Henrique Dourado 🔁
↦ S. Montoya
83′
83′
🔁 Luiz Carlos
↦ N. Stojiljković
Licá 🔁
↦ Tozé
84′
Ricardo Gomes 🔁
↦ Valente
89′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Guimaraes

1 Douglas Jesus G
3 Josué Sá D
76 Bruno Gaspar D
15 João Afonso D
93 Dalbert Henrique D
99 B. Saré M
26 Cafú M
70 Tozé M
10 S. Montoya M
9 Tómané F
7 Valente M
Bench (7)
89 Henrique Dourado
11 Licá
18 Ricardo Gomes
2 Pedrão
5 Luís Rocha
13 Assis
58 João Pedro

Sp Braga

1 S. Kritsyuk G
6 André Pinto D
15 Baiano D
24 Ricardo Ferreira D
16 Djavan Ferreira D
63 Mauro M
35 N.S. Vukčević M
18 Rafa Silva F
30 Alan M
17 Rui Fonte F
19 N. Stojiljković F
Bench (7)
5 W. Boly
7 Wilson Eduardo
8 Luiz Carlos
14 Aaron Níguez
20 Koka
23 Pedro Santos
92 Matheus

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Hugo Miguel · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.