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Primeira Liga

Referee: Antonio Nobre

Chaves

U S U S T

2–2

Full-time

Vitoria Setubal

T U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chaves Vitoria Setubal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

This season — Primeira Liga · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 24%

37%

11%

Points per game

1,4

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

42%

Both score Ø 55%

47%

63%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

48% Possession 52%

9 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 8

1 Offside 5

15 Free kicks against 22

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Chaves 7. · Vitoria Setubal 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	19	15	4	0	+37	49
2	Benfica	20	14	5	1	+34	47
3	Sp Lisbon	19	14	5	0	+31	47
4	Sp Braga	20	14	1	5	+20	43
5	Rio Ave	20	10	3	7	+6	33
6	Maritimo	19	8	5	6	-3	29
7	Chaves	19	7	5	7	-4	26
8	Guimaraes	19	8	2	9	-7	26
9	Boavista	19	7	3	9	-4	24
10	Tondela	20	6	4	10	-9	22
11	Portimonense	20	5	6	9	-4	21
12	Belenenses	20	5	6	9	-9	21
13	Pacos Ferreira	20	5	6	9	-12	21
14	Feirense	20	6	2	12	-8	20
15	Moreirense	20	3	7	10	-15	16
16	Estoril	19	4	3	12	-20	15
17	Vitoria Setubal	19	2	8	9	-16	14
18	Aves	20	3	5	12	-17	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	10	9	1	0	+25	28
2	Sp Braga	11	9	0	2	+18	27
3	Sp Lisbon	10	8	2	0	+19	26
4	Benfica	9	8	1	0	+22	25
5	Maritimo	10	6	3	1	+6	21
6	Rio Ave	10	6	1	3	+6	19
7	Portimonense	10	5	2	3	+7	17
8	Belenenses	10	4	4	2	+4	16
9	Pacos Ferreira	10	4	4	2	+2	16
10	Guimaraes	9	5	1	3	-2	16
11	Boavista	9	5	0	4	-2	15
12	Chaves	9	3	4	2	+3	13
13	Feirense	10	4	1	5	-3	13
14	Vitoria Setubal	10	2	5	3	-3	11
15	Tondela	10	3	2	5	-4	11
16	Estoril	9	3	1	5	-4	10
17	Moreirense	10	1	6	3	-5	9
18	Aves	10	1	2	7	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	11	6	4	1	+12	22
2	Sp Lisbon	9	6	3	0	+12	21
3	Porto	9	6	3	0	+12	21
4	Sp Braga	9	5	1	3	+2	16
5	Rio Ave	10	4	2	4	+0	14
6	Chaves	10	4	1	5	-7	13
7	Tondela	10	3	2	5	-5	11
8	Guimaraes	10	3	1	6	-5	10
9	Boavista	10	2	3	5	-2	9
10	Aves	10	2	3	5	-6	9
11	Maritimo	9	2	2	5	-9	8
12	Feirense	10	2	1	7	-5	7
13	Moreirense	10	2	1	7	-10	7
14	Belenenses	10	1	2	7	-13	5
15	Pacos Ferreira	10	1	2	7	-14	5
16	Estoril	10	1	2	7	-16	5
17	Portimonense	10	0	4	6	-11	4
18	Vitoria Setubal	9	0	3	6	-13	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.