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Primeira Liga
Referee: Tiago Andre Cardoso Antunes
Chaves
U U S
0–0
Full-time
Vitoria Setubal
T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chaves Vitoria Setubal
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%
7 Shots 3
1 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
30 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Chaves 9. · Vitoria Setubal 5. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 4 4 0 0 +7 12
2 Sp Braga 4 3 1 0 +6 10
3 Benfica 4 3 1 0 +5 10
4 Porto 4 3 0 1 +5 9
5 Vitoria Setubal 3 2 1 0 +4 7
6 Rio Ave 4 2 1 1 +0 7
7 Belenenses 4 2 1 1 +0 7
8 Guimaraes 4 2 0 2 +0 6
9 Chaves 3 1 2 0 +1 5
10 Boavista 4 1 2 1 -1 5
11 Moreirense 4 1 1 2 -1 4
12 Feirense 3 1 0 2 -2 3
13 Arouca 4 1 0 3 -3 3
14 Maritimo 4 1 0 3 -4 3
15 Pacos Ferreira 4 0 2 2 -3 2
16 Tondela 3 0 1 2 -3 1
17 Estoril 4 0 1 3 -5 1
18 Nacional 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Chaves Vitoria Setubal
Perdigão 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
Fabio Martins 🟨
54′
Hamdou Elhouni 🔁
↦ Fábio Martins
58′
60′
🔁 Fábio Cardoso
↦ Nuno Pinto
73′
🔁 A. Issoko
↦ João Amaral
A. Fall 🔁
↦ Rafael Lopes
76′
81′
🔁 Nuno Santos
↦ Costinha
S. Vukčević 🔁
↦ Perdigão
82′
Paulinho 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Chaves

4-2-3-1
13 Ricardo Nunes G
33 Felipe Lopes D
21 Nelson Lenho D
44 Leandro Freire D
2 Paulinho D
25 Bruno Braga M
16 R. Battaglia M
6 Rafael Assis M
9 Rafael Lopes F
10 Perdigão F
47 Fábio Martins M
Bench (7)
17 Hamdou Elhouni
18 A. Fall
3 S. Vukčević
1 António Filipe
4 Fábio Santos
5 N. Petrović
7 João Mário

Coach: Jorge Simão

Vitoria Setubal

4-2-3-1
88 Pedro Trigueira G
13 Vasco Fernandes D
21 Nuno Pinto D
22 Geraldes D
3 Frederico Venâncio D
6 Fabio Pacheco M
14 M. Agu M
70 Zé Manuel M
18 André Claro F
11 Costinha M
24 João Amaral M
Bench (7)
4 Fábio Cardoso
7 A. Issoko
10 Nuno Santos
1 L. Raeder
8 Nenê Bonilha
19 A. Meyong
23 Vasco Costa

Coach: José Couceiro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Tiago Andre Cardoso Antunes · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,41 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.