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Eredivisie
Referee: Kevin Blom
Vitesse
U S U T T
7–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitesse Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — Eredivisie · 26/30 matches
Win Ø 29%
38%
20%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
62%
57%
Both score Ø 59%
65%
53%
Average goals
2,9
2,9
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

73% Possession 27%
19 Shots 3
8 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 0
0 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Vitesse 9. · Sparta Rotterdam 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 30 25 2 3 +45 77
2 Ajax 30 22 4 4 +52 70
3 AZ Alkmaar 31 20 5 6 +30 65
4 Feyenoord 30 16 6 8 +28 54
5 Zwolle 30 12 7 11 -3 43
6 Utrecht 26 11 8 7 +0 41
7 Den Haag 29 11 7 11 -6 40
8 Heerenveen 28 10 9 9 -3 39
9 Vitesse 26 10 8 8 +8 38
10 Excelsior 30 11 5 14 -10 38
11 Heracles 31 10 7 14 -17 37
12 VVV Venlo 30 7 13 10 -10 34
13 Groningen 30 6 12 12 -5 30
14 Willem II 30 8 6 16 -11 30
15 NAC Breda 30 8 6 16 -17 30
16 Roda 30 7 5 18 -28 26
17 Sparta Rotterdam 30 6 6 18 -30 24
18 Twente 31 4 8 19 -23 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vitesse Sparta Rotterdam
1–0 T. Serero
2′
2–0 R. Beerens
M. Mount
18′
2–1 S. Fischer
own goal
29′
33′
🟨 Loris Brogno
Alexander Büttner 🟨
45′
45′
🟥 Michiel Kramer
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 F. Friday
↦ L. Brogno
46′
🔁 M. Breuer
↦ R. Mühren
3–1 B. Linssen
N. Foor
59′
M. van der Werff 🔁
↦ M. Miazga
71′
71′
🔁 D. Duarte
↦ S. Ahannach
4–1 T. Matavž
M. Mount
72′
T. Bruns 🔁
↦ N. Foor
76′
5–1 T. Bruns
B. Linssen
77′
6–1 B. Linssen
M. van der Werff
82′
J. Schuurman 🔁
↦ M. Mount
88′
Full-time 6–1

Line-ups

Vitesse

4-3-3
24 J. Houwen G
28 A. Büttner D
37 G. Kashia D
8 V. Karavaev D
5 M. Miazga D
7 R. Beerens F
17 T. Serero M
25 N. Foor M
19 M. Mount M
9 T. Matavž F
11 B. Linssen F
Bench (10)
3 M. van der Werff
10 T. Bruns
48 J. Schuurman
2 F. Dabo
16 M. van Bergen
21 M. Tørnes
22 R. Pasveer
23 M. Ali
42 T. Buitink
43 L. Faye

Coach: E. Sturing

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-3
1 J. Huth G
3 S. Fischer D
4 B. Vriends D
2 F. Holst D
8 R. Sanusi M
6 K. Dougall M
11 S. Ahannach F
9 M. Kramer F
7 L. Brogno F
10 R. Mühren M
5 C. Goodwin M
Bench (12)
18 F. Friday
12 M. Breuer
16 D. Duarte
23 R. Ache
20 L. Nienhuis
13 M. Veenhoven
21 A. Harroui
17 D. dos Santos
22 I. Alhaft
19 T. Verhaar
14 P. van Moorsel
15 S. Spierings

Coach: D. Advocaat

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Kevin Blom · 56 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
14,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.