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Primeira Liga

Referee: Rui Manuel Gomes Costa

Guimaraes

U T S T S

1–1

Full-time

Vitoria Setubal

S T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Vitoria Setubal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,3

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 30%

38%

21%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

66%

52%

Both score Ø 57%

52%

62%

Average goals

3,1

3,0

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%

8 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

22 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guimaraes 9. · Vitoria Setubal 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	29	23	5	1	+58	74
2	Porto	29	23	4	2	+56	73
3	Sp Braga	30	22	2	6	+43	68
4	Sp Lisbon	29	21	5	3	+37	68
5	Rio Ave	29	13	4	12	-3	43
6	Maritimo	29	12	7	10	-8	43
7	Boavista	30	11	5	14	-10	38
8	Chaves	30	10	8	12	-12	38
9	Guimaraes	29	11	3	15	-13	36
10	Portimonense	30	9	8	13	-7	35
11	Belenenses	29	8	9	12	-11	33
12	Tondela	29	8	7	14	-9	31
13	Aves	30	7	7	16	-15	28
14	Vitoria Setubal	29	6	10	13	-17	28
15	Moreirense	29	7	7	15	-17	28
16	Pacos Ferreira	30	7	7	16	-23	28
17	Estoril	30	7	5	18	-31	26
18	Feirense	30	7	3	20	-18	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	15	14	1	0	+37	43
2	Sp Lisbon	15	13	2	0	+27	41
3	Benfica	14	13	1	0	+39	40
4	Sp Braga	15	13	0	2	+25	39
5	Maritimo	14	9	3	2	+9	30
6	Rio Ave	14	9	2	3	+12	29
7	Boavista	15	9	2	4	+5	29
8	Guimaraes	14	8	2	4	-2	26
9	Belenenses	14	6	5	3	+4	23
10	Portimonense	15	7	2	6	+2	23
11	Pacos Ferreira	15	6	4	5	-3	22
12	Vitoria Setubal	15	5	6	4	+1	21
13	Chaves	15	4	6	5	-3	18
14	Moreirense	15	4	6	5	-3	18
15	Feirense	15	5	2	8	-5	17
16	Tondela	15	4	3	8	-5	15
17	Aves	15	4	3	8	-7	15
18	Estoril	15	4	3	8	-12	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	15	10	4	1	+19	34
2	Porto	14	9	3	2	+19	30
3	Sp Braga	15	9	2	4	+18	29
4	Sp Lisbon	14	8	3	3	+10	27
5	Chaves	15	6	2	7	-9	20
6	Tondela	14	4	4	6	-4	16
7	Rio Ave	15	4	2	9	-15	14
8	Aves	15	3	4	8	-8	13
9	Maritimo	15	3	4	8	-17	13
10	Portimonense	15	2	6	7	-9	12
11	Estoril	15	3	2	10	-19	11
12	Guimaraes	15	3	1	11	-11	10
13	Moreirense	14	3	1	10	-14	10
14	Belenenses	15	2	4	9	-15	10
15	Boavista	15	2	3	10	-15	9
16	Feirense	15	2	1	12	-13	7
17	Vitoria Setubal	14	1	4	9	-18	7
18	Pacos Ferreira	15	1	3	11	-20	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.