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Bundesliga

Referee: Harm Osmers

Hoffenheim

S S U S U

2–0

Full-time

Hamburg

U T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

2,7

0,8

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-1,2

This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 28%

38%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

55%

45%

Both score Ø 52%

62%

41%

Average goals

3,3

2,4

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%

21 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 5

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 8

3 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hoffenheim 7. · Hamburg 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	29	23	3	3	+55	72
2	Schalke 04	29	15	7	7	+12	52
3	Dortmund	29	14	9	6	+18	51
4	Leverkusen	29	13	9	7	+15	48
5	Ein Frankfurt	29	13	7	9	+7	46
6	RB Leipzig	29	13	7	9	+3	46
7	Hoffenheim	29	11	10	8	+11	43
8	M'gladbach	29	11	7	11	-5	40
9	Stuttgart	29	11	5	13	-8	38
10	Augsburg	30	9	10	11	-2	37
11	Hertha	29	8	12	9	-1	36
12	Werder Bremen	29	9	9	11	-2	36
13	Hannover	29	9	8	12	-6	35
14	Wolfsburg	30	5	15	10	-7	30
15	Freiburg	29	6	12	11	-22	30
16	Mainz	29	6	9	14	-17	27
17	Hamburg	29	5	7	17	-23	22
18	FC Koln	29	5	6	18	-28	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	12	2	0	+37	38
2	Dortmund	15	8	4	3	+16	28
3	Hoffenheim	14	8	4	2	+16	28
4	Schalke 04	14	8	4	2	+9	28
5	RB Leipzig	15	8	4	3	+8	28
6	Stuttgart	14	8	3	3	+5	27
7	Ein Frankfurt	15	7	4	4	+7	25
8	M'gladbach	15	7	4	4	+3	25
9	Hannover	15	7	3	5	+4	24
10	Leverkusen	14	6	5	3	+7	23
11	Werder Bremen	14	6	4	4	+3	22
12	Freiburg	15	5	6	4	-3	21
13	Augsburg	15	5	4	6	-1	19
14	Hertha	14	4	6	4	-1	18
15	Mainz	14	5	3	6	-3	18
16	Hamburg	15	4	4	7	-4	16
17	Wolfsburg	15	2	8	5	-3	14
18	FC Koln	15	3	4	8	-8	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	11	1	3	+18	34
2	Leverkusen	15	7	4	4	+8	25
3	Schalke 04	15	7	3	5	+3	24
4	Dortmund	14	6	5	3	+2	23
5	Ein Frankfurt	14	6	3	5	+0	21
6	Hertha	15	4	6	5	+0	18
7	Augsburg	15	4	6	5	-1	18
8	RB Leipzig	14	5	3	6	-5	18
9	Wolfsburg	15	3	7	5	-4	16
10	Hoffenheim	15	3	6	6	-5	15
11	M'gladbach	14	4	3	7	-8	15
12	Werder Bremen	15	3	5	7	-5	14
13	Hannover	14	2	5	7	-10	11
14	Stuttgart	15	3	2	10	-13	11
15	Mainz	15	1	6	8	-14	9
16	Freiburg	14	1	6	7	-19	9
17	FC Koln	14	2	2	10	-20	8
18	Hamburg	14	1	3	10	-19	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.