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Eliteserien

Referee: K Hagenes

Molde

S S T U S

4–0

Full-time

Viking

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Viking

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 64%

55%

73%

Points per game

1,9

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

64%

55%

Both score Ø 62%

55%

68%

Average goals

3,3

3,6

Scored

2,2

2,3

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,95 xG 1,12

44% Possession 56%

19 Shots 9

7 Shots on target 1

5 Blocked shots 5

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 5. · Viking 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	22	16	3	3	+21	+4.9	51
2	Bodo/Glimt	22	15	4	3	+28	+12.2	49
3	Tromso	23	15	3	5	+11	+8.9	48
4	Brann	23	14	3	6	+16	+0.9	45
5	Molde	22	12	5	5	+24	+13.9	41
6	Lillestrom	23	11	3	9	+5	+5.9	36
7	Sarpsborg 08	23	10	4	9	+5	+0.9	34
8	Odd	23	8	6	9	-3	-3.1	30
9	Rosenborg	23	8	5	10	-6	-1.6	29
10	Stromsgodset	22	8	3	11	-3	-4.1	27
11	Ham-Kam	22	7	3	12	-15	-10.2	24
12	Valerenga	22	5	6	11	-8	-5.9	21
13	Sandefjord	22	5	6	11	-9	-10.2	21
14	Haugesund	23	5	6	12	-14	-5.7	21
15	Stabaek	22	4	5	13	-16	-5.6	17
16	Aalesund	23	3	3	17	-36	-1.1	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	12	9	2	1	+16	-0.8	29
2	Viking	12	9	2	1	+15	+2.4	29
3	Tromso	12	8	2	2	+9	+6.9	26
4	Molde	10	7	2	1	+18	+7.2	23
5	Bodo/Glimt	10	7	2	1	+15	+3.7	23
6	Lillestrom	12	7	0	5	+8	+3.9	21
7	Rosenborg	12	6	2	4	+4	+3.8	20
8	Sarpsborg 08	11	6	1	4	+9	-0.9	19
9	Odd	11	5	3	3	+3	+0.2	18
10	Ham-Kam	12	5	3	4	+1	-6.2	18
11	Sandefjord	10	4	4	2	+9	-5.6	16
12	Stromsgodset	11	5	1	5	+2	-1.6	16
13	Haugesund	11	4	2	5	-3	-5.4	14
14	Stabaek	11	3	3	5	+0	-4.5	12
15	Aalesund	12	3	3	6	-8	+4.6	12
16	Valerenga	11	2	2	7	-7	-0.5	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	12	8	2	2	+13	+8.5	26
2	Viking	10	7	1	2	+6	+2.5	22
3	Tromso	11	7	1	3	+2	+1.9	22
4	Molde	12	5	3	4	+6	+6.7	18
5	Brann	11	5	1	5	+0	+1.6	16
6	Lillestrom	11	4	3	4	-3	+2.0	15
7	Sarpsborg 08	12	4	3	5	-4	+1.7	15
8	Valerenga	11	3	4	4	-1	-5.4	13
9	Odd	12	3	3	6	-6	-3.3	12
10	Stromsgodset	11	3	2	6	-5	-2.5	11
11	Rosenborg	11	2	3	6	-10	-5.3	9
12	Haugesund	12	1	4	7	-11	-0.3	7
13	Ham-Kam	10	2	0	8	-16	-4.0	6
14	Stabaek	11	1	2	8	-16	-1.2	5
15	Sandefjord	12	1	2	9	-18	-4.7	5
16	Aalesund	11	0	0	11	-28	-5.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.