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Primeira Liga
Referee: Andre Filipe Domingues Narciso
Belenenses
U T U S U
0–0
Full-time
Boavista
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Belenenses Boavista
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,2
2,7
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
0,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
22%
22%
Points per game
1,2
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
22%
44%
Both score Ø 39%
33%
44%
Average goals
1,7
2,4
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
0,9
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
12 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
1 Offside 3
23 Free kicks against 26
5 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Belenenses 10. · Boavista 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 9 7 0 2 +14 21
2 Sp Braga 9 6 3 0 +10 21
3 Sp Lisbon 9 6 1 2 +7 19
4 Rio Ave 9 5 3 1 +5 18
5 Benfica 9 5 2 2 +6 17
6 Moreirense 10 5 1 4 -3 16
7 Santa Clara 9 4 2 3 +3 14
8 Vitoria Setubal 10 4 2 4 +2 14
9 Guimaraes 9 3 3 3 +1 12
10 Belenenses 9 2 5 2 -1 11
11 Portimonense 10 3 2 5 -6 11
12 Maritimo 9 3 1 5 -6 10
13 Tondela 9 2 3 4 +0 9
14 Feirense 10 2 3 5 -4 9
15 Boavista 9 2 2 5 -6 8
16 Aves 9 2 1 6 -5 7
17 Chaves 9 2 1 6 -7 7
18 Nacional 9 1 3 5 -10 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Belenenses Boavista
11′
🟨 Helton Leite
29′
🟨 Gonçalo Cardoso
Eduardo Henrique 🟨
41′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Mateus
↦ André Claro
47′
🟨 Mateus
56′
🟨 Rafael Lopes
Fredy 🟨
59′
O. Drame 🔁
↦ Fredy
60′
M. Ljujić 🔁
↦ Eduardo Henrique
67′
Ousmane Drame 🟨
68′
68′
🔁 Rafael Costa
↦ Fábio Espinho
Gonçalo Silva 🔁
↦ André Santos
77′
80′
🟨 Rafael Costa
Gonçalo Silva 🟨
82′
89′
🟨 Nwankwo Obiora
Vincent Sasso 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Belenenses

4-3-3
1 Muriel G
6 V. Sasso D
67 Reinildo D
66 Nuno Coelho M
26 André Santos M
5 Eduardo Henrique M
47 Jonatan M
7 Licá F
16 Fredy F
10 Diogo Viana M
50 A. Keita F
Bench (7)
93 O. Drame
11 M. Ljujić
37 Gonçalo Silva
21 Z. Bergdich
39 Mika
8 Dálcio
96 Adélcio Varela

Coach: Silas

Boavista

4-2-3-1
90 Helton Leite G
5 Talocha D
27 Neris D
2 Gonçalo Cardoso D
8 David Simão M
10 Fábio Espinho M
4 N. Obiora M
17 Carraça D
7 Rochinha M
18 André Claro F
33 Rafael Lopes F
Bench (7)
9 Mateus
23 Rafael Costa
3 Raphael Silva
1 Rafael Bracalli
20 Edu Machado
42 I. Mandiang
31 Matheus Índio

Coach: Jorge Simão

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Andre Filipe Domingues Narciso · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
31,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.