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Eredivisie

Referee: Bernie Raymond Blom

De Graafschap

S T T S T

1–4

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

De Graafschap PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

33%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

3,7

3,2

Scored

1,2

3,0

Conceded

2,5

0,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+2,8

This season — Eredivisie · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 64%

27%

100%

Points per game

0,9

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 73%

64%

82%

Both score Ø 41%

45%

36%

Average goals

3,0

3,9

Scored

1,0

3,5

Conceded

2,0

0,4

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+3,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

38% Possession 62%

10 Shots 23

2 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 11

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match De Graafschap 16. · PSV Eindhoven 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	11	11	0	0	+35	33
2	Ajax	11	9	1	1	+26	28
3	Feyenoord	10	6	2	2	+7	20
4	Heracles	11	6	2	3	+3	20
5	Utrecht	11	5	3	3	+2	18
6	AZ Alkmaar	11	4	3	4	+3	15
7	VVV Venlo	10	4	3	3	+1	15
8	Heerenveen	11	3	5	3	-1	14
9	For Sittard	11	3	4	4	+0	13
10	Willem II	12	3	4	5	-3	13
11	FC Emmen	12	3	4	5	-12	13
12	Vitesse	10	3	3	4	-1	12
13	Excelsior	11	3	3	5	-7	12
14	Den Haag	11	3	3	5	-10	12
15	Zwolle	12	3	2	7	-9	11
16	De Graafschap	11	3	1	7	-11	10
17	NAC Breda	12	2	2	8	-14	8
18	Groningen	10	2	1	7	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	6	6	0	0	+23	18
2	Ajax	6	5	1	0	+18	16
3	Heracles	5	5	0	0	+11	15
4	Feyenoord	5	5	0	0	+10	15
5	Utrecht	6	4	1	1	+6	13
6	AZ Alkmaar	6	2	3	1	+5	9
7	De Graafschap	6	3	0	3	-1	9
8	For Sittard	6	2	2	2	+2	8
9	Excelsior	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	VVV Venlo	4	2	1	1	+4	7
11	Vitesse	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	NAC Breda	6	2	1	3	-1	7
13	Den Haag	5	2	1	2	-5	7
14	FC Emmen	6	1	3	2	-2	6
15	Willem II	5	1	2	2	+3	5
16	Zwolle	6	1	1	4	-3	4
17	Heerenveen	6	0	3	3	-8	3
18	Groningen	5	0	1	4	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	5	5	0	0	+12	15
2	Ajax	5	4	0	1	+8	12
3	Heerenveen	5	3	2	0	+7	11
4	VVV Venlo	6	2	2	2	-3	8
5	Willem II	7	2	2	3	-6	8
6	Zwolle	6	2	1	3	-6	7
7	FC Emmen	6	2	1	3	-10	7
8	AZ Alkmaar	5	2	0	3	-2	6
9	Groningen	5	2	0	3	-4	6
10	For Sittard	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Vitesse	6	1	2	3	-2	5
12	Feyenoord	5	1	2	2	-3	5
13	Utrecht	5	1	2	2	-4	5
14	Den Haag	6	1	2	3	-5	5
15	Heracles	6	1	2	3	-8	5
16	Excelsior	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	De Graafschap	5	0	1	4	-10	1
18	NAC Breda	6	0	1	5	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.