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Championship
Referee: England Darren
Middlesbrough
T S U U U
2–0
Full-time
Wigan
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Middlesbrough Wigan
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,8
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,2
This season — Championship · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 41%
44%
38%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
19%
56%
Both score Ø 35%
25%
44%
Average goals
1,6
2,7
Scored
1,1
1,2
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

42% Possession 58%
19 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Middlesbrough 4. · Wigan 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sheffield United 17 9 3 5 +8 30
2 Norwich 16 9 3 4 +7 30
3 Derby 15 8 4 3 +11 28
4 Middlesbrough 16 7 7 2 +9 28
5 Leeds 15 7 6 2 +12 27
6 Nott'm Forest 16 6 8 2 +7 26
7 West Brom 16 7 4 5 +9 25
8 Blackburn 16 6 7 3 -1 25
9 Swansea 16 6 5 5 +5 23
10 Birmingham 16 5 8 3 +3 23
11 QPR 16 7 2 7 -5 23
12 Bristol City 16 6 4 6 +2 22
13 Brentford 16 5 6 5 +5 21
14 Aston Villa 16 5 6 5 +1 21
15 Stoke 16 5 6 5 -1 21
16 Wigan 16 6 2 8 -5 20
17 Sheffield Weds 17 5 5 7 -9 20
18 Rotherham 16 4 5 7 -9 17
19 Millwall 16 4 4 8 -6 16
20 Bolton 16 4 4 8 -11 16
21 Preston 16 3 6 7 -5 15
22 Reading 16 4 3 9 -5 15
23 Hull 16 4 3 9 -8 15
24 Ipswich 16 1 7 8 -14 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Middlesbrough Wigan
1–0 J. Hugill
38′
2–0 J. Hugill
44′
Half-time 2–0
60′
🟨 Nathan Byrne
Aden Flint 🟨
61′
B. Assombalonga 🔁
↦ J. Hugill
69′
74′
🔁 J. Vaughan
↦ N. Powell
74′
🔁 C. McManaman
↦ J. Windass
L. Wing 🔁
↦ M. Braithwaite
76′
83′
🔁 K. Naismith
↦ G. Roberts
G. Saville 🔁
↦ M. Bešić
84′
87′
🟨 James Vaughan
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Middlesbrough

4-3-3
23 D. Randolph G
3 G. Friend D
24 A. Flint D
6 D. Batth D
19 S. Downing F
16 J. Howson M
8 A. Clayton M
37 M. Bešić M
20 D. Fry D
10 M. Braithwaite F
11 J. Hugill F
Bench (7)
9 B. Assombalonga
26 L. Wing
22 G. Saville
1 D. Konstantopoulos
4 Daniel Ayala
17 P. McNair
39 R. Gestede

Coach: T. Pulis

Wigan

4-4-1-1
1 C. Walton G
33 D. Burn D
3 A. Robinson D
21 C. Kipre D
12 R. James D
18 G. Roberts M
4 D. Gibson M
25 N. Powell M
2 N. Byrne M
36 L. Evans M
10 J. Windass M
Bench (7)
8 J. Vaughan
15 C. McManaman
20 K. Naismith
14 A. Bruce
19 Leonardo Lopes
23 J. Jones
41 J. Garner

Coach: P. Cook

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

England Darren · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.