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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Mota da Silva
Feirense
T T T T T
4–4
Full-time
Chaves
T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feirense Chaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,3
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 31/31 matches
Win Ø 16%
6%
26%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
39%
48%
Both score Ø 42%
39%
45%
Average goals
2,3
2,4
Scored
0,5
0,9
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
2 Offside 2
22 Free kicks against 18
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feirense 18. · Chaves 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 31 25 3 3 +64 78
2 Porto 31 24 4 3 +45 76
3 Sp Lisbon 31 22 4 5 +33 70
4 Sp Braga 31 20 4 7 +20 64
5 Moreirense 32 15 4 13 -4 49
6 Guimaraes 31 13 6 12 +6 45
7 Rio Ave 32 11 9 12 -3 42
8 Belenenses 31 9 13 9 -1 40
9 Santa Clara 31 10 8 13 -1 38
10 Aves 31 10 6 15 -8 36
11 Portimonense 31 10 6 15 -10 36
12 Maritimo 31 11 3 17 -17 36
13 Boavista 31 10 5 16 -12 35
14 Vitoria Setubal 31 7 12 12 -7 33
15 Tondela 31 8 7 16 -15 31
16 Chaves 31 8 7 16 -19 31
17 Nacional 31 7 6 18 -33 27
18 Feirense 31 2 9 20 -38 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feirense Chaves
10′
William 0–1
Niltinho
11′
🟨 Renan Bressan
0–2 Djavan Ferreira
own goal
13′
Cris 🟨
28′
1–2 Vítor Bruno
37′
38′
🔁 Costinha
↦ R. Bressan
Half-time 1–2
Flávio 🟨
48′
57′
🔁 G. Ghazaryan
↦ Bruno Gallo
59′
N. Maraš 1–3
Djavan Ferreira
2–3 Babanco
Tiago Silva
70′
Ali Ghazal 🔁
↦ Cris
73′
73′
🔁 Platiny
↦ Niltinho
73′
Platiny 2–4
Lionn
3–4 Luís Machado
Tiago Mesquita
76′
Edinho 🔁
↦ S. Petkov
80′
Luís Machado 🟨
83′
Philipe Sampaio 🔁
↦ Luís Machado
86′
Tiago Silva 🟨
88′
Caio 🟨
90′
96′
Platiny 3–5
Full-time 3–5

Line-ups

Feirense

4-2-3-1
22 Caio Secco G
28 Tiago Mesquita D
90 Vítor Bruno D
4 A. Briseño D
32 Flavio D
17 Cris M
5 Babanco M
10 Tiago Silva M
12 Paraiba D
7 Luís Machado M
9 S. Petkov F
Bench (7)
66 Ali Ghazal
36 Edinho
94 Philipe Sampaio
87 Mateus Anderson
50 Crivellaro
20 José Valencia
30 Bruno Brigido

Coach: Filipe Martins

Chaves

4-2-3-1
1 António Filipe G
33 Lionn D
26 Djavan Ferreira D
19 N. Maraš D
22 G. Campi D
25 Bruno Gallo M
12 R. Bressan M
6 Jefferson M
55 L. Singh M
11 William F
30 Niltinho M
Bench (7)
20 Costinha
9 G. Ghazaryan
99 Platiny
16 E. Şen
13 Ricardo Nunes
2 Paulinho
3 Hugo Basto

Coach: José Mota

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Mota da Silva · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.