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Bundesliga

Referee: Marco Fritz

Werder Bremen

S U S T T

2–2

Full-time

Dortmund

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,2

4,2

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

1,5

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — Bundesliga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 54%

39%

68%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

58%

74%

Both score Ø 76%

84%

68%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

1,7

2,4

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

47% Possession 53%

14 Shots 20

4 Shots on target 8

3 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 8

3 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 7

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Werder Bremen 9. · Dortmund 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	32	23	5	4	+52	74
2	Dortmund	31	21	6	4	+34	69
3	RB Leipzig	32	19	8	5	+35	65
4	Ein Frankfurt	31	15	9	7	+23	54
5	M'gladbach	32	15	7	10	+11	52
6	Wolfsburg	32	15	7	10	+8	52
7	Hoffenheim	32	13	12	7	+21	51
8	Leverkusen	31	16	3	12	+8	51
9	Werder Bremen	31	12	10	9	+7	46
10	Hertha	32	10	10	12	-5	40
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	31	12	4	15	-16	40
12	Mainz	32	10	7	15	-15	37
13	Freiburg	31	7	11	13	-16	32
14	Augsburg	31	8	7	16	-12	31
15	Schalke 04	31	8	6	17	-18	30
16	Stuttgart	32	6	6	20	-41	24
17	Nurnberg	32	3	10	19	-34	19
18	Hannover	32	4	6	22	-42	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	16	13	2	1	+26	41
2	Bayern Munich	16	12	3	1	+31	39
3	RB Leipzig	16	10	5	1	+25	35
4	M'gladbach	16	9	3	4	+11	30
5	Ein Frankfurt	16	8	4	4	+13	28
6	Hoffenheim	16	7	5	4	+9	26
7	Werder Bremen	15	7	5	3	+8	26
8	Mainz	16	7	5	4	+7	26
9	Wolfsburg	16	7	5	4	+6	26
10	Leverkusen	15	8	1	6	+2	25
11	Hertha	16	6	6	4	+3	24
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	8	0	8	-2	24
13	Freiburg	15	5	6	4	+1	21
14	Augsburg	16	5	4	7	+2	19
15	Stuttgart	16	5	4	7	-8	19
16	Nurnberg	16	3	7	6	-2	16
17	Schalke 04	15	4	1	10	-12	13
18	Hannover	16	4	1	11	-14	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	16	11	2	3	+21	35
2	RB Leipzig	16	9	3	4	+10	30
3	Dortmund	15	8	4	3	+8	28
4	Ein Frankfurt	15	7	5	3	+10	26
5	Leverkusen	16	8	2	6	+6	26
6	Wolfsburg	16	8	2	6	+2	26
7	Hoffenheim	16	6	7	3	+12	25
8	M'gladbach	16	6	4	6	+0	22
9	Werder Bremen	16	5	5	6	-1	20
10	Schalke 04	16	4	5	7	-6	17
11	Hertha	16	4	4	8	-8	16
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	4	4	7	-14	16
13	Augsburg	15	3	3	9	-14	12
14	Freiburg	16	2	5	9	-17	11
15	Mainz	16	3	2	11	-22	11
16	Hannover	16	0	5	11	-28	5
17	Stuttgart	16	1	2	13	-33	5
18	Nurnberg	16	0	3	13	-32	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.