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Serie A
Referee: Gianluca Rocchi
Udinese
S T T U T
0–0
Full-time
Inter
S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
This season — Serie A · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 39%
24%
53%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
38%
44%
Both score Ø 43%
47%
38%
Average goals
2,4
2,4
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

27% Possession 73%
8 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 9
2 Offside 0
19 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 17. · Inter 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 35 28 5 2 +44 89
2 Napoli 34 21 7 6 +34 70
3 Inter 34 18 8 8 +24 62
4 Atalanta 34 17 8 9 +26 59
5 Roma 34 16 10 8 +15 58
6 Torino 35 14 15 6 +15 57
7 Milan 34 15 11 8 +14 56
8 Lazio 34 16 7 11 +13 55
9 Sampdoria 34 14 6 14 +8 48
10 Spal 35 11 9 15 -9 42
11 Sassuolo 34 9 14 11 -4 41
12 Fiorentina 34 8 16 10 +5 40
13 Cagliari 34 10 10 14 -15 40
14 Bologna 34 9 10 15 -11 37
15 Parma 34 9 10 15 -17 37
16 Genoa 34 8 11 15 -17 35
17 Udinese 34 8 9 17 -18 33
18 Empoli 34 7 8 19 -23 29
19 Frosinone 34 5 8 21 -36 23
20 Chievo 35 2 12 21 -48 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Inter
Sandro 🟨
13′
15′
🟨 Danilo D'Ambrosio
40′
🟨 Borja Valero
Half-time 0–0
S. Okaka 🔁
↦ I. Pussetto
61′
63′
🔁 M. Icardi
↦ Borja Valero
66′
🟨 Marcelo Brozović
E. Hallfreðsson 🔁
↦ Sandro
73′
77′
🔁 A. Candreva
↦ M. Politano
79′
🔁 K. Baldé
↦ Lautaro Martínez
B. Wilmot 🔁
↦ M. DAlessandro
81′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Udinese

3-4-2-1
1 J. Musso G
87 S. De Maio D
90 M. Zeegelaar D
19 J. Larsen D
17 B. Nuytinck D
30 Sandro M
77 M. D'Alessandro M
10 R. de Paul M
23 I. Pussetto F
38 R. Mandragora M
15 K. Lasagna F
Bench (8)
7 S. Okaka
20 E. Hallfreðsson
24 B. Wilmot
14 P. Mićin
88 Nicolas
27 S. Perisan
18 H. ter Avest
8 E. Agyemang-Badu

Coach: I. Tudor

Inter

4-2-3-1
1 S. Handanovič G
18 K. Asamoah D
6 S. de Vrij D
33 D. D'Ambrosio D
37 M. Škriniar D
44 I. Perišić M
14 R. Nainggolan M
20 Borja Valero M
77 M. Brozović M
16 M. Politano F
10 Lautaro Martínez F
Bench (10)
9 M. Icardi
87 A. Candreva
11 K. Baldé
5 R. Gagliardini
23 João Miranda
15 João Mário
27 D. Padelli
29 Dalbert Henrique
13 A. Ranocchia
21 Cédric Soares

Coach: L. Spalletti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Gianluca Rocchi · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.