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Pro League
3–3
Full-time
Lokeren
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Lokeren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 25/20 matches
Win Ø 25%
24%
25%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
60%
45%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 10. · Lokeren 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 17 13 1 3 +27 40
2 Gent 17 12 3 2 +22 39
3 Oostende 18 10 5 3 +16 35
4 Anderlecht 16 10 5 1 +13 35
5 Genk 15 9 2 4 +6 29
6 St Truiden 21 8 2 11 -6 26
7 Waregem 16 7 4 5 +5 25
8 Charleroi 16 7 4 5 +4 25
9 Standard 19 8 1 10 -11 25
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 25 6 6 13 -11 24
11 Mechelen 20 6 5 9 -7 23
12 Westerlo 25 5 8 12 -20 23
13 Lokeren 20 5 4 11 -7 19
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 20 4 6 10 -9 18
15 Beveren 19 5 3 11 -12 18
16 Kortrijk 18 3 7 8 -10 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Lokeren
7′
S. Ingason 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 G. Galitsios
↦ M. Tičinović
46′
D. Odoi 0–2
Jajá
1–2 Kanu
J. Remacle
54′
2–2 K. Ojo
Y. Croizet
69′
71′
M. Mirić 2–3
T. Azevedo 🔁
↦ J. Remacle
77′
3–3 J. Bostock
81′
85′
🔁 D. Melnjak
↦ S. Bolbat
93′
🔁 M. Terki
↦ Jajá
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

26 R. Riou
29 P. Monteyne
28 O. Volovyk
25 Kanu
5 P. Ngawa
15 J. Bostock
12 K. Houdret
10 Y. Croizet
7 J. Remacle
27 K. Ojo
19 L. Trossard
Bench (7)
14 T. Azevedo
1 Y. Lenaerts
4 R. Reynaud
11 A. Cerigioni
22 S. Asamoah
30 J. Lokando
6 J. Calvé

Lokeren

13 D. Verhulst
30 João Carlos
19 M. Tičinović
3 D. Odoi
15 S. Ingason
25 B. Ňinaj
7 K. Overmeire
21 M. Mirić
70 Jajá
9 H. Harbaoui
50 S. Bolbat
Bench (7)
11 G. Galitsios
22 D. Melnjak
14 M. Terki
1 B. Barry
10 A. Patosi
17 C. Dessers
29 L. Enoh

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.